Search found 3654 matches
- Fri Jun 13, 2025 8:49 am
- Forum: Cash
- Topic: Schwab, Fidelity halt trading of Blackrock MM ETF
- Replies: 3
- Views: 9295
Re: Schwab, Fidelity halt trading of Blackrock MM ETF
Darn! Schwab SGVT is live, but priced at $100 per share. What good is that? Same as BIL or SGOV. Not a place to park loose change less than $100, because no fractional ETF shares at Schwab. Guess I will keep using SCHO for that.
- Sat May 31, 2025 10:29 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: AllocateSmartly (Ochotona)
- Replies: 6
- Views: 7435
Re: AllocateSmartly (Ochotona)
This month has some increase to US equity allocation... the models called for addition of SPY and QQQ. I overrode those symbols, and substituted USMV for SPY (minimum volatility ETF) and SCHG for QQQ (SCHG doesn't own "Strategy" which I think is absurd). Mostly equities, thought, are exUS ...
- Sat May 31, 2025 7:59 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: As far as financial advisors go, I like these people
- Replies: 4
- Views: 1878
Re: As far as financial advisors go, I like these people
they are but they work with other assets in risk parity fashion . it is not a performance or timing thing like it is when he talks about missing the worst days in stock and using timing models to get in and out I think you're splitting hairs, man. Putting together a portfolio of highly uncorrelated...
- Sat May 31, 2025 7:54 am
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Texas introduces GAULT legislation
- Replies: 14
- Views: 15217
Re: Texas introduces GAULT legislation
Under the proposed law, the Texas Comptroller would issue gold and silver specie (coins) through the Texas Bullion Depository and also establish gold and silver transactional currency defined as “the representation of gold and silver specie and bullion held in the pooled depository account.” Since ...
- Mon May 26, 2025 9:50 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: As far as financial advisors go, I like these people
- Replies: 4
- Views: 1878
As far as financial advisors go, I like these people
When I'm too old to manage things, it's either a simple lazy robust portfolio run by my daughter, or go with these people... but that could be 15 years in the future, maybe they're retired, too, by then. OMG GenX is getting older, too! I like how John blows up the investment community myths. https:/...
- Sun May 25, 2025 8:50 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Hedge Fund Manager sees US becoming Greece
- Replies: 5
- Views: 3169
Hedge Fund Manager sees US becoming Greece
{BTW - Greece now, 14 years later, has a budget SURPLUS...} "Maybe you forget Grexit, the nickname given to Greece's multi-year financial crisis in the mid-2010s. It had many people, investors and governments worried the small nation would be forced to withdraw from the European Union. It was a...
- Fri May 23, 2025 7:57 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: PP YTD performance - was it the worst ever?
- Replies: 124
- Views: 82389
Re: PP YTD performance - was it the worst ever?
I think I posted in Fall 2022 on one of these threads that it would be a great time to enter the PP, on a severe drawdown (worst of all time, it turns out). Looks like I was right. Since then, HBPP beats 60/40, which it usually doesn't do in a bull market. We're still in a bull market in stocks sinc...
- Tue May 20, 2025 7:12 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Bond momentum
- Replies: 4
- Views: 1922
Re: Bond momentum
I don't own FBND, I also think it's too long. I'm keeping ~2 years average in my port. I was just saying, it's better than AGG, BND.
- Tue May 20, 2025 7:11 am
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: The ECB is worried about systemic financial system risk from a squeeze in the gold market
- Replies: 2
- Views: 2320
- Tue May 20, 2025 7:09 am
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: "US States Likely to Defy US Downgrade to Keep Top Credit Ratings"
- Replies: 6
- Views: 7030
Re: "US States Likely to Defy US Downgrade to Keep Top Credit Ratings"
Does that really make a lot of sense, that the states could be more reliable at returning nominal dollars when they can't print and the feds can? I bought some short-term munis in an ETF, it's the iShares IBM* (* is a wildcard) family of ETFs. Choose your maturity. I'm keeping the term short, 1-2 y...
- Sun May 18, 2025 7:26 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: A free, lower risk way to lever up
- Replies: 1
- Views: 989
A free, lower risk way to lever up
I just found out that Texas has a program whereby seniors 65+ can defer paying all property tax until their home is no longer their primary residence, and interest accrues at 5% annually... and no taxing authorities are allowed to foreclose on you during that time. Other States offer this too. This ...
- Sun May 18, 2025 7:18 pm
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Bond momentum
- Replies: 4
- Views: 1922
Re: Bond momentum
Fidelity FBND is pretty good for an aggregate bond fund
- Thu May 15, 2025 11:42 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Bond momentum
- Replies: 4
- Views: 1922
Bond momentum
interesting enough powell made a statement this morning “Fed’s Powell cautions about higher long-term rates as ‘supply shocks’ provide policy challenges” Fed Chair Jerome Powell said Thursday that longer-term interest rates are likely to be higher as the economy changes and policy is in flux. “We m...
- Wed May 14, 2025 8:41 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯
- Replies: 12
- Views: 3486
Re: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯
I use this one: Walked-forward maximize Sharpe Ratio, with low exposure to rising interest rates https://allocatesmartly.com/big-new-feature-walked-forward-optimal-strategy-combinations-aka-meta-walk-forwards/ Sorry, it's behind a paywall, but honestly, it's worth every penny. I pay this service 1/3...
- Mon May 12, 2025 1:50 pm
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: Putin Invades Ukraine II
- Replies: 1386
- Views: 1439818
Re: Putin Invades Ukraine II
Indians lured to war in Ukraine by Russia under pretense of job opportunities
https://youtu.be/k6Dlqw8PVnM?si=DWylQPbuqnosrLkf
https://youtu.be/k6Dlqw8PVnM?si=DWylQPbuqnosrLkf
- Sun May 11, 2025 9:03 am
- Forum: Bonds
- Topic: The debt celing soap opera explained so simply that even a member of Congress can understand it
- Replies: 19
- Views: 22320
Re: The debt celing soap opera explained so simply that even a member of Congress can understand it
Washington — Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Congressional leaders Friday (May 09, 2025) that the federal government could be unable to pay its bills as soon as August if Congress doesn't act, urging lawmakers to address the debt limit by mid July. In a letter to House Speaker Mike Johnson, Be...
- Fri May 09, 2025 9:49 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Pope Leo thread
- Replies: 3
- Views: 1348
Re: The Pope Leo thread
White Sox not Cubs
- Fri May 09, 2025 7:10 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯
- Replies: 12
- Views: 3486
Re: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯
OCHOTONA Hi! Invesco's Swiss Franc ETF + iGOV iShares International sovereign bond ETF = both for 25% cash portion of PP? Or it is a second PP outside US-HB-PP? 8) ??? One consideration is that the IGOV has a duration of 7-8 years, similar to IEF. Some people implement a US Permanent Portfolio of 2...
- Fri May 09, 2025 6:47 am
- Forum: Politics
- Topic: The Pope Leo thread
- Replies: 3
- Views: 1348
The Pope Leo thread
I'm very satisfied that the poor and marginalized, migrants. and the Global South generally , continue to have someone in their corner. I view his Papacy as the second Latin American Papacy, as much as it is a North American Papacy. He is a naturalized Peruvian citizen, after all, and he was a Bisho...
- Fri May 09, 2025 6:42 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯
- Replies: 12
- Views: 3486
Re: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯
Hi 👋🏻 An US citizen should have 20-30% in directly euros 💶? I don't think Euro is the best choice for US persons. Many EU countries (I'm looking at you, France) have as bad a debt crisis as the US - NATO has been tasked with increasing deficit spending to fund defense, Germany is taking on more deb...
- Thu May 08, 2025 6:45 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯
- Replies: 12
- Views: 3486
Re: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯
No one knows that a complete collapse of US Bonds and Cash and Stocks would look like, but long-term scenarios being suggested by various gold bugs out there like Jordan Roy-Bryne are 10,000 - 25,000 USD. It's 3400 now, so if it goes up by 4x to 13,600 then you're covered in nominal terms. Even Luke...
- Tue May 06, 2025 8:33 am
- Forum: Gold
- Topic: Gold is not an investment
- Replies: 46
- Views: 18226
Re: Gold is not an investment
Gold has doubled since this first post of this thread.
- Mon May 05, 2025 6:45 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: 🌍 Exploring USD-Based Diversification: Golden Butterfly 🦋 or Second Permanent Portfolio 📊?
- Replies: 10
- Views: 2598
Re: 🌍 Exploring USD-Based Diversification: Golden Butterfly 🦋 or Second Permanent Portfolio 📊?
Gold is a currency agnostic asset. It's just a metal... it gets expressed in different currency units. It doesn't matter where you hold it. Your considerations are index tracking error, annaul expense ratio, TAXATION - look up "USA gold commodity tax".
- Sat May 03, 2025 8:14 am
- Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
- Replies: 539
- Views: 438283
Re: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
I currently have a light allocation to exUS stocks... 6% to IEFA, and 6% to EMXC (Emerging Markets exChina). No US stocks. The rest gold, short term bonds, cash equivalents, and IGOV (exUS government bonds). I have to say, my ideas from years ago of combining TAA and the cash, bonds, and gold from t...
- Thu May 01, 2025 6:34 am
- Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
- Topic: Is it time to make the PP and GB less U.S.-centric?
- Replies: 6
- Views: 2406
Re: Is it time to make the PP and GB less U.S.-centric?
Clearly, gold is a currency. So definitely, 25% is a good amount. I have been taking my cues from what the Global Market Portfolio is... the GMP. If you take ALL stocks, ALL bonds in the world, the US contributes roughly 40% to that total. So if you just wanted to hold the world, you'd have 60% exUS...