Search found 125 matches

by HappyMan
Tue Mar 31, 2020 9:30 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
Replies: 456
Views: 123121

Re: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo

ochotona wrote:
Tue Mar 31, 2020 2:58 pm
The GEM portfolio is in Bonds for April 2020 (AGG, BND, SCHZ).

And by now I can confirm that Paul Novell's SPY-COMP model got out of equities a month ago, on 2/28/2020. It's faster out, faster in.
Thanks for the update!
by HappyMan
Tue Mar 31, 2020 1:43 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan
Replies: 7
Views: 1526

Re: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan

Fidelity shuts three Treasury funds to new investors

https://www.ft.com/content/c0bc0af1-8e8 ... 7a0a0d7248
by HappyMan
Wed Mar 25, 2020 12:58 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Kat Klub
Replies: 127
Views: 1598

Re: Kat Klub

vnatale wrote:
Sun Mar 22, 2020 9:07 pm
Since I have 19 total pets I thought I'd split this up into three posts....
Cute pets! Thanks for sharing!
by HappyMan
Sun Mar 22, 2020 10:05 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
Replies: 456
Views: 123121

Re: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo

Ochotona,

Well said!

Did not know you work as a psychologist part-time. ;-)
by HappyMan
Thu Mar 19, 2020 10:41 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
Replies: 456
Views: 123121

Re: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo

ochotona wrote:
Thu Mar 19, 2020 2:29 pm
HappyMan wrote:
Mon Mar 16, 2020 8:28 pm
Ochotona,

What is your rule for getting back in?

Keep us posted on when the newsletter suggests getting out of cash.
I can't give signals away, it's not my intellectual property
No need. Very much like you did this time. Tell about a signal after enough time passed.
by HappyMan
Mon Mar 16, 2020 8:28 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
Replies: 456
Views: 123121

Re: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo

Ochotona,

What is your rule for getting back in?

Keep us posted on when the newsletter suggests getting out of cash.
by HappyMan
Sun Mar 15, 2020 9:49 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
Replies: 456
Views: 123121

Re: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo

Impressive!

How often those e-mails come?
by HappyMan
Sat Mar 14, 2020 8:54 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo
Replies: 456
Views: 123121

Re: Tactical Asset Allocation + HBPP an intriguing combo

Congrats!

Did the newsletter explicitly say "Get out!" or was it your calculations based on the information in the newsletter?
by HappyMan
Tue Mar 10, 2020 3:29 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan
Replies: 7
Views: 1526

Re: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan

I get a feeling some people could use a batch of positive statistics. Here it is. Yesterday was a Monday, and the S&P-500 index fell 7,6% in one day. In the table below, there recorded all the previous instances for the last 70 years, when the index dropped more than 5% on a Monday. Nine instances i...
by HappyMan
Fri Feb 28, 2020 3:15 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan
Replies: 7
Views: 1526

Re: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan

If volatility disturbs your sleep, you need to re-evaluate your risk ratio. Claiming that they can handle 25-30% drawdown for long-term profit, some investors begin to panic at minus 10-15%. The attached table illustrates a simple thing: based on the previous history, what profit one should expect a...
by HappyMan
Tue Feb 25, 2020 1:54 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach
Replies: 68
Views: 20816

Re: PP Inspired Momentum - A Comprehensive Approach

Thank you IG for allowing me to post some graphs and tables here. After some thought given to the nature of my postings and the character of your thread, I decided it would be more fitting to have a separate thread for that. Here is the link, https://www.gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f...
by HappyMan
Tue Feb 25, 2020 1:50 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan
Replies: 7
Views: 1526

Re: Graphs and thoughts from HappyMan

Here is an interesting piece of statistics in the light of yesterday's drop. In the last ten years, there have been 242 days, when S&P dropped 1% or more. In the table, all the cases are spread over the days of a week. The spread is quite even, as one can see. The drawdowns are also somewhat even fr...