Search found 41 matches

by Larshus
Mon Jul 27, 2015 10:28 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: What if Gold drops to $300.00 per ounce?
Replies: 74
Views: 30587

Re: What if Gold drops to $300.00 per ounce?

Look at gold this way in the PP. Its a hedge against really, REALLY bad things happening. That's why its so important to hold it in the physical sense. Its the only asset that has no counter-party liability. Ie if things completely blow up, its the currency of last resort. There has never, EVER been...
by Larshus
Wed Jan 29, 2014 2:08 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Purchasing Physical Gold
Replies: 28
Views: 18805

Re: Purchasing Physical Gold

Couple interesting things: Swiss 10 Franc: About 4 years ago the Swiss central bank released hoards of them. Well, either they did or a massive customer at UBS did. No one really knows. Anyways, they were a rare coin up to that point. You can now pick them up for less than 5% over melt :) For the PP...
by Larshus
Wed Jan 29, 2014 1:57 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Carrying physical gold out of the country
Replies: 18
Views: 9943

Re: Carrying physical gold out of the country

I import and export large quantities of gold daily as a bonded importer/exporter and marketmaker. Let me inform you of the current law (which could change). First forget the $10,000 cash limit. It has nothing to do with the eagles. The intrinsic value is much higher which is all that customs cares a...
by Larshus
Wed Jan 29, 2014 1:46 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Should I put my home equity in my PP?
Replies: 16
Views: 9633

Re: Should I put my home equity in my PP?

I'm in the same boat-ish. I own my home free and clear and have often thought of financing it with the extremely low current rates... Until my late father's voice starts screaming at me that I'm a moron. His point would have been that with 3 kids, I'd be a fool to give up a completely risk free scen...
by Larshus
Sat Oct 12, 2013 3:51 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Someone Playing with The Gold Market Today?
Replies: 14
Views: 8235

Re: Someone Playing with The Gold Market Today?

Logic says miners have more bang for the buck. Heck GDX looks cheap and GDXJ is yielding.. what something over 8% (Not at my trade desk.. at home for the weekend). the problem is that when gold becomes the most desirable, and the miners looks to gain the most, the least stable countries look to nati...
by Larshus
Fri Oct 11, 2013 1:46 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Someone Playing with The Gold Market Today?
Replies: 14
Views: 8235

Re: Someone Playing with The Gold Market Today?

I'd shift my 401k and IRA to hold stocks, bonds, cash. I'd try and hold as much physical outside of them as I could. I'd own the ETF as long as I was working on reducing the ETF into physical on an ongoing basis. I guess I'm saying the current risk of ETF default is low. But that could change at a m...
by Larshus
Fri Oct 11, 2013 1:44 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Physical vs ETF
Replies: 8
Views: 6894

Re: Physical vs ETF

I've been through the Refco, and the Man Financial debacles on the futures side. Nothing like seeing the president of the company before a congressional hearing saying hes not responsible/doesn't know what happened when you know DAMN WELL that he stole cash out of your segregated account. Its infuri...
by Larshus
Fri Oct 11, 2013 1:26 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Someone Playing with The Gold Market Today?
Replies: 14
Views: 8235

Re: Someone Playing with The Gold Market Today?

So I'll answer each piece part by part. Lets say you have an unlimited amount of buying power (not cash, just buying power... and I know its impossible, just stick with me). Lets say you want to put that buying power to work. You look for a market that is fairly non liquid at a certain time. That me...
by Larshus
Fri Oct 11, 2013 12:16 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3952
Views: 2564467

Re: The GOLD scream room

Correction. 20,000 contracts were dumped in under a second.
by Larshus
Fri Oct 11, 2013 12:08 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Someone Playing with The Gold Market Today?
Replies: 14
Views: 8235

Re: Someone Playing with The Gold Market Today?

90% of the regulators for futures are on furlough. What you say today is blatant algo trading to manipulate the market. The process happened in about 200 ms, and shut down CME for 10 seconds. No sane person dumps 2 million ounces on the market at once unless its for manipulation purposes. Shorts wer...
by Larshus
Fri Oct 11, 2013 12:04 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Should I be freaking out?
Replies: 28
Views: 21308

Re: Should I be freaking out?

It depends on what you ordered. If its something common like american Gold Eagles *and* there is no current holdup to tier one distributors, Tier ones will get their shipments once a week. That means gold mart will get their shipment from the tier ones every week. If its taking more than 2 weeks for...
by Larshus
Fri Oct 11, 2013 11:57 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Helvetia Swiss 20 Franc
Replies: 5
Views: 5010

Re: Helvetia Swiss 20 Franc

American Gold Exchange stocks them I know. They are a reputable dealer. Not sure if you can buy them one at a time on their site, might have to call them.
by Larshus
Mon Aug 26, 2013 9:40 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Rick Ferri Dissing HBPP
Replies: 25
Views: 17984

Re: Rick Ferri Dissing HBPP

Gold is definitely becoming more scarce.  Each oz costs more to mine (ore grades are typically much worse than 50 years ago) and more people in the world wanting gold. Silver has an even better story. This is a bit of a misnomer. There are really 2 parts to this. 1) Gold has been more expensive to ...
by Larshus
Fri Aug 23, 2013 9:15 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Rick Ferri Dissing HBPP
Replies: 25
Views: 17984

Re: Rick Ferri Dissing HBPP

The problem with figuring out the real return for gold is two fold: 1) It has to be compared to something... a benchmark. WHAT benchmark? It could be argued the gold itself is the "golden" benchmark and everything else should be compared to it. If we look at it this way, gold has no real r...
by Larshus
Thu Aug 15, 2013 3:03 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: India Bans new gold imports
Replies: 4
Views: 3530

Re: India Bans new gold imports

Zerohedge can be a claptrap.... JPM doesn't have to buy up physical. They can simply not deliver and deliver cash instead (force majure). What is significant though is that that don't have any physical. Scotia and HSBC have plenty of physical, but its not necessarily stored in the U.S. nor are they ...
by Larshus
Thu Aug 15, 2013 12:56 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: India Bans new gold imports
Replies: 4
Views: 3530

India Bans new gold imports

Gold surging today on lack of supply in Dubai and India banning gold imports into the country. Tell someone they can't have something and you almost guarantee that the demand is going to surge.

Meanwhile JPM's physical gold vault continues to empty....
by Larshus
Mon Aug 12, 2013 3:04 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Short Covering...
Replies: 6
Views: 4144

Re: Short Covering...

If anyone cares, we are seeing strong price movement on massive short covering over the last few days. Largest number covers in this timeframe in the last decade. All the industrials (miners ect) have very low short exposure. The existing shorts are from the speculators. They seem to be covering ha...
by Larshus
Mon Aug 12, 2013 2:58 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Short Covering...
Replies: 6
Views: 4144

Re: Short Covering...

There are 3 main groups of people that short in the gold market. Gold producers (industry), small specs, and large specs. Small specs are just that, pretty small. As a total they don't mean much. Large specs (speculators) are banks ,hedge funds, you name it. If you look at the long term movement of ...
by Larshus
Mon Aug 12, 2013 10:11 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Short Covering...
Replies: 6
Views: 4144

Short Covering...

If anyone cares, we are seeing strong price movement on massive short covering over the last few days. Largest number covers in this timeframe in the last decade. All the industrials (miners ect) have very low short exposure. The existing shorts are from the speculators. They seem to be covering har...
by Larshus
Thu Aug 01, 2013 1:17 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: First Spouse Uncirculated Coins?
Replies: 12
Views: 12187

Re: First Spouse Uncirculated Coins?

Any gold that's close to melt is PP eligible. Doesn't much matter where it comes from, as long as it comes from a reputable dealer. Gold is gold. PP mandates cheap gold. That's about it :)
by Larshus
Thu Aug 01, 2013 8:34 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Physical Fractional vs. Full oz. Gold
Replies: 24
Views: 18035

Re: Physical Fractional vs. Full oz. Gold

I've lurked for years. Just decided to start posting because I see some inaccurate info sometimes. I've started referring people to crawling road and the forums for the PP so I'll try to clear up as much murkiness as I'm able to. I think the reason gold generates so many questions is because its bee...
by Larshus
Thu Aug 01, 2013 8:30 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: First Spouse Uncirculated Coins?
Replies: 12
Views: 12187

Re: First Spouse Uncirculated Coins?

They are if you can get em cheap.... and considering they are ugly as all get out you should be able to :)
by Larshus
Wed Jul 31, 2013 11:30 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: Physical Fractional vs. Full oz. Gold
Replies: 24
Views: 18035

Re: Physical Fractional vs. Full oz. Gold

There is actually a few interesting stories about the counterfeit sovs. First off during the first half of the 20th century the Bank of England did a very good job removing the counterfeits from circulation. You find very few of them now a days. The ones you do find are very crude. they look mushy, ...
by Larshus
Mon Jul 29, 2013 3:12 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Physical Fractional vs. Full oz. Gold
Replies: 24
Views: 18035

Re: Physical Fractional vs. Full oz. Gold

If you look around, you can find good deals. You just have to be patient. I'll list a few things that dealers HATE and you should be able to buy cheap: Post office arts medals. The U.S. in its infinite wisdom made medals (not coins) and sold them through the post office. they were .900 fine. They ca...
by Larshus
Mon Jul 29, 2013 2:55 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Physical Fractional vs. Full oz. Gold
Replies: 24
Views: 18035

Re: Physical Fractional vs. Full oz. Gold

Re-Read.. Pound = Sovereign =  Sov :) Sorry for the slang :)