Search found 243 matches

by eufo
Wed Apr 25, 2018 5:11 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Minimum time frame for holding PP
Replies: 59
Views: 26664

Re: Minimum time frame for holding PP

Gold and Cash were both winners today. How is that false protection? Honestly, Budd, I don't know whether to pity you or laugh at you. You're about as miserable as it gets. That sums it up succinctly, nice job! I don’t have $6.00 USD in 3 ETF’s so I don’t expect you to understand. When I posted ear...
by eufo
Tue Apr 24, 2018 6:46 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Minimum time frame for holding PP
Replies: 59
Views: 26664

Re: Minimum time frame for holding PP

buddtholomew wrote:How's everyone enjoying their false protection?
Gold and Cash were both winners today. How is that false protection? Honestly, Budd, I don't know whether to pity you or laugh at you. You're about as miserable as it gets.
by eufo
Tue Apr 17, 2018 7:58 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Firstrade Commission Free HBPP
Replies: 5
Views: 4009

Re: Firstrade Commission Free HBPP

http://www.etf.com/SLYV Small value Price/Earnings Ratio 131.58 http://www.etf.com/VTI Total market PE 27. Whats the math on this, how do I make more money long term when the PE is high Value stocks are supposed to be cheap companies that are out of favor, with dim prospects. Then they do better th...
by eufo
Mon Apr 16, 2018 4:54 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Max [maxmyinterest.com]
Replies: 41
Views: 26893

Re: Max [maxmyinterest.com]

I recently moved a decent chunk of my cash into CIT Bank. Their Money Market account is paying 1.75%.

http://www.bankoncit.com
by eufo
Thu Apr 12, 2018 5:15 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 1425
Views: 413110

Re: Stock scream room

Kriegsspiel wrote:Up! Down! Up! Down!

I assume the Flash Boys have been making a killing lately.
The good ones are making a killing. The bad ones are getting killed.
by eufo
Wed Apr 04, 2018 8:07 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP performance for Q1 2018
Replies: 19
Views: 10231

Re: PP performance for Q1 2018

My version of the GB is down 0.40% for Q1 2018. My buddy's portfolio is down 1.76%, so at least I'm beating him out. Lol!
by eufo
Mon Mar 12, 2018 6:06 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: BH/Siamond Withdrawal Rate Worries
Replies: 4
Views: 2683

Re: BH/Siamond Withdrawal Rate Worries

This is one of my favorite calculators on your site, Tyler. It really puts withdrawals into perspective. I'm not anywhere close to retirement, but I feel much better equipped than before I found this forum and your site.
by eufo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 6:07 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: When all asset classes are overvalued
Replies: 20
Views: 8965

Re: When all asset classes are overvalued

Good luck to you, Budd, and good luck to us all!
by eufo
Tue Feb 27, 2018 6:02 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: The Great Bond Bubble?
Replies: 29
Views: 13326

Re: The Great Bond Bubble?

buddtholomew wrote:Does anyone hold LTT’s or am I the idiot left holding the bag?
Lol! I still have some in my retirement account. I sold off all of the rest.
by eufo
Mon Feb 26, 2018 9:00 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3295
Views: 918231

Re: The GOLD scream room

Also, it's important to keep an eye on the big picture and look at the options from few different perspectives. For example, your portfolio looks a lot more appealing in the Drawdowns calculator. Different people are motivated by different things, so it's hard to make generalizations. The best I ca...
by eufo
Mon Feb 26, 2018 6:02 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3295
Views: 918231

Re: The GOLD scream room

For anyone interested in playing with the numbers for themselves, the tool is now live. I'm sure I speak for everyone when I say your continued hard work is greatly appreciated, Tyler! It's interesting to compare the more volatile portfolios with either PP, GB, or my own concoction. There is a kind...
by eufo
Sun Feb 25, 2018 8:27 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 1425
Views: 413110

Re: Stock scream room

boglerdude wrote:where do brokers get the $ used for margin loans?
I'd imagine it's created and lent the same way a bank might do, but I really have no idea.
by eufo
Sat Feb 24, 2018 9:10 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 1425
Views: 413110

Re: Stock scream room

I love my cash, I love my cash, I love my cash...

Seriously, though... I do.
by eufo
Sat Feb 24, 2018 9:08 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Small Caps
Replies: 6
Views: 7471

Re: Small Caps

I use small and mid caps in my portfolio instead of the broad market. Over time they tend to outperform, but are more volatile.

Play with asset allocations on Tyler's site: https://portfoliocharts.com
by eufo
Fri Feb 23, 2018 6:53 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3295
Views: 918231

Re: The GOLD scream room

Oh, I believe it applies in other aspects of life, just not investing! Seasonality, trends, etc have predictive value (e.g.forecasts) but the relationship of future returns to historical returns is less substantive to me. So, again, I ask... why would it matter if your 70/30 portfolio outperformed ...
by eufo
Thu Feb 22, 2018 7:41 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3295
Views: 918231

Re: The GOLD scream room

I didn’t invest in the portfolio from 1998-2008 so it is not relevant to me. How is past data not relevant? :o Backtesting has no predictive value. It’s fun though, I actually do data mining and predictive analytics for a living. Then why would it matter if your 70/30 portfolio outperformed YTD?
by eufo
Thu Feb 22, 2018 7:30 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3295
Views: 918231

Re: The GOLD scream room

buddtholomew wrote:I didn’t invest in the portfolio from 1998-2008 so it is not relevant to me.
How is past data not relevant? :o
by eufo
Tue Feb 20, 2018 9:54 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3295
Views: 918231

Re: The GOLD scream room

You might as well hold 100% stocks if you never look, it has the highest expected return. Put everything in AAPL. It's the largest market cap stock out there but has crushed the overall market for years. Seriously, though, the PP is about as stable an allocation as one could ever hope for. Day to d...
by eufo
Sun Feb 18, 2018 6:18 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: One of these things is not like the others...
Replies: 16
Views: 5859

Re: One of these things is not like the others...

moda0306 wrote:
eufo wrote:Holy gay. Yes, I used that in the pejorative sense.
While I agree with your sentiment... look at your avatar! ;)

But seriously that Obama pic is terrible. And I'm pretty left on the environmentalism spectrum.
Lol! I deserve that one. Nicely played, sir.
by eufo
Sun Feb 18, 2018 5:50 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: One of these things is not like the others...
Replies: 16
Views: 5859

Re: One of these things is not like the others...

Holy gay. Yes, I used that in the pejorative sense.
by eufo
Wed Feb 14, 2018 8:13 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3295
Views: 918231

Re: The GOLD scream room

dualstow wrote:Gold's teasing us again today. O0
Don't worry, it'll lose all those gains at the open tomorrow and then chill all day to hold the loss.
by eufo
Sun Feb 11, 2018 6:56 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 1425
Views: 413110

Re: Stock scream room

I gotta say, I'm actually embracing this correction. I was worried at the beginning, now I'm at acceptance.
by eufo
Sat Feb 10, 2018 7:40 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Is the PP going to hold up?
Replies: 115
Views: 39693

Re: Is the PP going to hold up?

Smaller moves are much easier to make for me as well. If I received a large lump sum of money, I would have great difficulty putting it all to work immediately. I would slowly and methodically add to my positions over a course of time that felt adequate for the amount involved. It's likely too conse...
by eufo
Fri Feb 09, 2018 4:45 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3295
Views: 918231

Re: The GOLD scream room

dualstow wrote:
ochotona wrote:Miners at 52 week lows
How many meters down are they?
Lol! So bad...
by eufo
Fri Feb 09, 2018 3:27 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Is the PP going to hold up?
Replies: 115
Views: 39693

Re: Is the PP going to hold up?

RE: Bitcoin... If anyone is selling equities to run to Bitcoin as a safe haven, I think they are making a gross error that will prove disastrous. I agree with this. On a related topic, I would like to put in an application for a new portfolio. I see GB, Coffeehouse, Swensen all have their own. And ...