Ochotona,

What is your rule for getting back in?

Keep us posted on when the newsletter suggests getting out of cash.

Impressive!

How often those e-mails come?

Congrats!

Did the newsletter explicitly say "Get out!" or was it your calculations based on the information in the newsletter?

I get a feeling some people could use a batch of positive statistics. Here it is. Yesterday was a Monday, and the S&P-500 index fell 7,6% in one day. In the table below, there recorded all the previous instances for the last 70 years, when the index dropped more than 5% on a Monday. Nine instanc...

If volatility disturbs your sleep, you need to re-evaluate your risk ratio. Claiming that they can handle 25-30% drawdown for long-term profit, some investors begin to panic at minus 10-15%. The attached table illustrates a simple thing: based on the previous history, what profit one should expect a...

Thank you IG for allowing me to post some graphs and tables here. After some thought given to the nature of my postings and the character of your thread, I decided it would be more fitting to have a separate thread for that. Here is the link, https://www.gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f...

Here is an interesting piece of statistics in the light of yesterday's drop. In the last ten years, there have been 242 days, when S&P dropped 1% or more. In the table, all the cases are spread over the days of a week. The spread is quite even, as one can see. The drawdowns are also somewhat eve...

Hi, The Insurance Guy has been kind enough to let me post some of the graphs and thoughts that I have come across concerning S&P, momentum, and other market-related topics. I think it is time to start its own thread. Thoughts, reflections, and graphs are welcome. Not sure I can always provide th...

Does anyone read fund perspectives? My broker has sent me one for SPDR fund. I reckon besides the maintenance fees it is not that helpful.

Sorry man. Can't seem to find the source. Have saved only the table.

Hi D1984,

Got my piece from a professional network. Try contacting them and see if they point you to the source.

Let us know how it goes.

Robeco has published interesting statistics. Interestingly enough, the Momentum factor is ahead of the market in all the decades, starting from 1930s.

mathjak107 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 13, 2020 3:23 pm added to uso (oil ) and gld today

Did you add to your limit order at 12.33 from 1/9 ?

When did you sell oil?

Hope Mr. IG does not mind my postings. If it's inconvenient, please do not hesitate to let me know. People from "Irrelevant investor" evaluated longest drawdowns in real prices since 1926. On the graph, you can see that so-called risk-free investments (especially US bonds and T-bills) lose...

mathjak107 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 09, 2020 8:47 am
edit-------------- limit order hit at 12.33

Nice! What is your secret?

Is it time to buy oil?

Historical returns of different portfolios, diverse and an "average" investor.

Source from J.P. Morgan Asset Management:
https://am.jpmorgan.com/blob-gim/138340 ... M_1Q20.pdf

2mathjak107: Hope that helps in regards to what you were asking.

Here is a comparative return from different assets for the last decade.

Nobody knows what will the next ten years bring. The last could be first and vice versa.

Small wonder, momentum strategies lose to S&P when the latter is pumping, like the last 12 weeks. The thing is, not many, if any, people know when S&P will be pumping.

vnatale wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 7:38 pm
Only 3 of the 18 are cats. I've set my house limit at 3 cats (unless a Siamese or Tonkinese comes around. Then I'd make an exception to add one more). All the others are rodents. And, all, including the cats, are low maintenance.

Vinny

Pics?

Well said.

It is very convenient to buy an ETF when the market is down for a day or two. Especially, if one needs this ETF in one's portfolio. Not to mention that TLT even pays dividends once a quarter. The chances that something goes wrong with this plan are minuscular.

Alright! Keep us posted. Many learn by observation or following the master ;-)

I'd like the first copy but signed ;-) If not signed, then no go.

Got my first 1% off TLT. That was pretty easy!

Thanks, mathjak, for sharing this simple strategy!