Search found 1102 matches

by flyingpylon
Thu Apr 06, 2023 9:18 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: How much to save for retirement
Replies: 101
Views: 74591

Re: How much to save for retirement

Seems like the answer to “how much to save for retirement” is always the same as how much the rich should pay in taxes: “more”. If you think you have it all figured out, someone will make you aware of some new reason that no, actually you’re doomed. All any of us can do is to do our best and we’re g...
by flyingpylon
Tue Mar 28, 2023 3:24 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: TikTok ban thoughts?
Replies: 26
Views: 19456

Re: TikTok ban thoughts?

TikTok is more dangerous as a tool of persuasion than of espionage. The US Government doesn't like tools of persuasion that they can't control (and apparently they haven't figured out how to profit from it) hence they want to ban it. I don't use TikTok. Part of me says it shouldn't be banned outrigh...
by flyingpylon
Sun Mar 26, 2023 7:00 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: in depth review of golden butterfly
Replies: 21
Views: 12568

Re: in depth review of golden butterfly

This is just “SEO Content” designed to perform well with search engines. There’s no real analysis. The goal is to attract people searching for various investment strategies and convert them to a paid membership.
by flyingpylon
Fri Mar 24, 2023 11:10 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Re: I'M OUT!
Replies: 22
Views: 3999

Re: I'M OUT!

If the stock market was dropping 50% and the "outlook" for stocks was not bright, would you sell all of your remaining stock holdings, potentially at a loss, and pile into whatever was doing well at the moment? I tried that in 2008, and it didn't work out well; in fact, that's what led me to the PP...
by flyingpylon
Sat Mar 18, 2023 11:39 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Twitter Files
Replies: 163
Views: 55926

Re: The Twitter Files

What I was trying to say is that if enough people believe the lies for enough time, the damage is done and at some point it's too late to undo it. The narrative engineers know this. They don't care, they don't admit fault, they're not ashamed, they just move on to the next false narrative. Some peop...
by flyingpylon
Sat Mar 18, 2023 7:50 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Twitter Files
Replies: 163
Views: 55926

Re: The Twitter Files

It might take a while for this knowledge to percolate through (it will definitely be fought by corporate media/Democratic Party), but I think eventually most people will come to grips with it. In what timeframe? Reminds me of the saying “markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solv...
by flyingpylon
Tue Feb 07, 2023 11:04 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Dems Set Some of the Darnedest Precedents
Replies: 44
Views: 7743

Re: The Dems Set Some of the Darnedest Precedents

D vs R is the wrong framing for most issues these days.
by flyingpylon
Mon Feb 06, 2023 9:24 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: What to do with a Low-Yielding 30-Year Bond
Replies: 31
Views: 19953

Re: What to do with a Low-Yielding 30-Year Bond

Here's what you do: Read Tyler's excellent article on bond convexity! High Profits at Low Rates: The Benefits of Bond Convexity Read it multiple times if necessary, that's what I do. It depends on the role long-term bonds play in your portfolio, but it may make you wonder if you should buy more now ...
by flyingpylon
Thu Feb 02, 2023 8:46 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: When is it time to load up on bonds.
Replies: 40
Views: 33685

Re: When is it time to load up on bonds.

Some people say that the Fed's inflation target is actually a 2% average over time , the duration of which remains a mystery. So the Fed will hold interest rates higher for longer than many people expect. This is the speech that's often cited, by John C Williams of the New York Fed on 11/30/2018. M...
by flyingpylon
Thu Feb 02, 2023 7:28 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: When is it time to load up on bonds.
Replies: 40
Views: 33685

Re: When is it time to load up on bonds.

Some people say that the Fed's inflation target is actually a 2% average over time, the duration of which remains a mystery. So the Fed will hold interest rates higher for longer than many people expect.
by flyingpylon
Wed Feb 01, 2023 2:47 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: The Twitter Files
Replies: 163
Views: 55926

Re: The Twitter Files

Holy smoke, it's all broken wide open. There is absolutely no surviving this by the dems. They're done. Right now. https://rumble.com/v27yyq2-joe-biden-is-a-foreign-agent-the-case-is-closed-ep.-1941-the-dan-bongino-sh.html?mref=16emn&mc=6kk5f Well... don't get yourself too invested in potential out...
by flyingpylon
Sun Jan 29, 2023 8:22 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus General Discussion
Replies: 5196
Views: 1780882

Re: Coronavirus General Discussion

I dont necessarily object to gain of function research. But its interesting how this story was scrubbed for several days, and how most of family will never hear about it. People are living in different realities if they dont seek out contrarian news sources. When everyone had to read NYtimes, WSJ e...
by flyingpylon
Wed Jan 25, 2023 10:41 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Tucker Carlson: Biden is Done
Replies: 24
Views: 4708

Re: Tucker Carlson: Biden is Done

LOL... Vice President Mike Pence discovered classified documents in Indiana home (Fox News... so probably false, right?) I'm waiting for Oprah to stand up and yell "YOU get classifed docs... and YOU get classified docs... and EVERYONE gets classified docs!!" It's apparent that classified docs are n...
by flyingpylon
Tue Jan 24, 2023 11:37 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Tucker Carlson: Biden is Done
Replies: 24
Views: 4708

Re: Tucker Carlson: Biden is Done

LOL... Vice President Mike Pence discovered classified documents in Indiana home (Fox News... so probably false, right?) I'm waiting for Oprah to stand up and yell "YOU get classifed docs... and YOU get classified docs... and EVERYONE gets classified docs!!" It's apparent that classified docs are no...
by flyingpylon
Sat Jan 21, 2023 7:46 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Tucker Carlson: Biden is Done
Replies: 24
Views: 4708

Re: Tucker Carlson: Biden is Done

Don't look now, but...

Investigators Seize More Classified Documents From Biden’s Home (NYT)

And in totally unrelated news...

Ron Klain set to depart as Biden’s chief of staff (Politico)
It comes as the administration enters a new phase of Biden’s presidency.
by flyingpylon
Sat Jan 21, 2023 7:47 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Tucker Carlson: Biden is Done
Replies: 24
Views: 4708

Re: Tucker Carlson: Biden is Done

You mean, like Fox lawyers / judge saying he's not to be taken literally? https://www.npr.org/2020/09/29/917747123/you-literally-cant-believe-the-facts-tucker-carlson-tells-you-so-say-fox-s-lawye You mean, like the same way no opinion show should be taken literally? It’s an opinion, commentary, wha...
by flyingpylon
Fri Jan 20, 2023 8:35 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Tucker Carlson: Biden is Done
Replies: 24
Views: 4708

Tucker Carlson: Biden is Done

Very interesting segment from Tucker Carlson last night. https://youtu.be/MgXq8S02NJc TL;DR (or watch): Permanent Washington has decided that Biden is done, just like they did with JFK, Nixon, and others. They'll use the classified document scandal as the excuse because it will limit collateral dama...
by flyingpylon
Wed Jan 18, 2023 9:49 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The State of the Economy
Replies: 9
Views: 1035

Re: The State of the Economy

Cullen Roche has written some interesting articles regarding debt and the economy, etc:

The Biggest Myths in Economics

Be sure to check out the related posts he's listed for more details.
by flyingpylon
Mon Jan 16, 2023 11:04 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Mar A Lago documents
Replies: 114
Views: 15522

Re: Mar A Lago documents

I can't argue with most of your examples, so not necessarily a contrary view of the economy here. But since you asked for some good news, I can tell you with certainty that the price of lumber has come down significantly from the spike levels we were seeing last year and the year before. Not quite ...
by flyingpylon
Sat Jan 14, 2023 6:40 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Mar A Lago documents
Replies: 114
Views: 15522

Re: Mar A Lago documents

C’mon guys… none of this is really about any documents.
by flyingpylon
Sat Jan 14, 2023 12:00 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Mar A Lago documents
Replies: 114
Views: 15522

Re: Mar A Lago documents

But wait, there’s more… Five more classified documents found at Biden’s Wilmington home, lawyer says Why is it White House lawyers that are finding these documents? Where’s the FBI? Are we supposed to believe that the true number and nature of these documents will ever be disclosed? Either way, I’m ...
by flyingpylon
Fri Jan 13, 2023 11:16 am
Forum: Politics
Topic: Mar A Lago documents
Replies: 114
Views: 15522

Re: Mar A Lago documents

Was the reason for the raid that the former President was in possession of the documents? Or was it that he allegedly refused to give them back? Or was it something else? I'm just looking for the official reason, whatever it may be worth. This site has a list of pertinent documents: https://www.jus...
by flyingpylon
Thu Jan 12, 2023 5:30 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Mar A Lago documents
Replies: 114
Views: 15522

Re: Mar A Lago documents

Special Counsel appointed: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/appointment-special-counsel-1 House will be precluded from investigating. Ongoing investigation... nothing to see here... O0 I hadn't heard that congressional inquiries on this were precluded. Where did you hear that? At least the Special Co...
by flyingpylon
Thu Jan 12, 2023 2:10 pm
Forum: Politics
Topic: Mar A Lago documents
Replies: 114
Views: 15522

Re: Mar A Lago documents

Special Counsel appointed: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/appointm ... -counsel-1

House will be precluded from investigating. Ongoing investigation... nothing to see here...

O0