Search found 83 matches

by Jeffreyalan
Tue Sep 19, 2017 12:54 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Schiff and other Doom Porn
Replies: 13
Views: 8745

Re: Schiff and other Doom Porn

I read the article linked to above, which is cited for the argument that trillions in new debt per year IS sustainable. I'm afraid I'm too economically illiterate to understand much of it at all. Is there anyone who could explain, in a nutshell, how the government would get out from under its debt ...
by Jeffreyalan
Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:34 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Schiff and other Doom Porn
Replies: 13
Views: 8745

Schiff and other Doom Porn

Reading through all threats here I've seen several disparaging comments on so called "doom porners" like Peter Schiff and Harry Dent. Aside from the sensationalism they sometimes peddle when they have a new book (ie a crash will happen in the first quarter of 2018), what are people's main ...
by Jeffreyalan
Mon Sep 11, 2017 8:14 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
Replies: 571
Views: 337769

Re: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?

I have had some "real money" in the 3x portfolio (with 5% XIV) for a few months and I am quite happy so far! Any thoughts as to how this compares to the Permanent Portfolio in a strong stock market downturn?

Jeffrey
by Jeffreyalan
Tue Aug 22, 2017 12:16 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Treasury Direct Safety
Replies: 11
Views: 12652

Treasury Direct Safety

I know a lot of the members here use Treasury Direct for their cash and/or bonds. I would like to get some opinions here on the safety of it. By safety I do not necessarily mean someone stealing my password, logging in as me and transferring my money to themselves. I mean safety in the terms of some...
by Jeffreyalan
Sun Aug 13, 2017 2:16 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?
Replies: 571
Views: 337769

Re: 20% annual returns over 40 years...interested?

Are there any compelling reasons to add a MidCap or Small Cap 3x ETF to this portfolio? Or does an S&P 500 3x suffice for the stock portion?
by Jeffreyalan
Fri Aug 04, 2017 7:53 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: SHV ETF
Replies: 3
Views: 5422

Re: SHV ETF

https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239466/ishares-short-treasury-bond-etf The ishares website reports .34% as the YTD gain, as does morningstar. Powershares has a new ETF CLTL that is similar to SHV but at only half the expense ratio. I have been leaning towards the ETFs for the simplicity. I under...
by Jeffreyalan
Thu Aug 03, 2017 8:03 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: SHV ETF
Replies: 3
Views: 5422

SHV ETF

Does anyone use SHV (ishares short term treasury) ETF for their cash component? I always wonder why its return is so low. Right now tbills from 3 months to a year will get you over 1% on Treasury Direct. But yet SHV has only returned .33% so far this year. Even taking into account the .15% expense r...
by Jeffreyalan
Sat Jul 29, 2017 4:09 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: All America Bank 1.5%
Replies: 57
Views: 60469

Re: All America Bank 1.5%

-Inflation-protection for 30 years/ rate resets 60 times (no CD has that) Why the assumption that a rate reset is always in your favor? Inflation has only ticked up .47% in the last 3 months. If that continues the the ibond rate reset coming up may be half of my cd rate. And if deflation hits you co...
by Jeffreyalan
Thu Jul 27, 2017 8:19 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: All America Bank 1.5%
Replies: 57
Views: 60469

Re: All America Bank 1.5%

when comparing cds vs treasury bills, should we put any emphasis on cds giving you the ability for compounding interest? When opening a cd I can just let the interest stay in the cd and compound whereas with a treasury bill I buy it at a discount and then have leftover interest that I have to then f...
by Jeffreyalan
Mon Jul 24, 2017 7:58 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: All America Bank 1.5%
Replies: 57
Views: 60469

Re: All America Bank 1.5%

While we are on the topic of I Bonds, I have a general question. It seems most posters here are of the opinion that the Treasury will never outright default on their bonds, but will instead opt to pseudo-default by inflation. If one believes that then part of that scheme would have to be the under r...
by Jeffreyalan
Sun Jul 23, 2017 2:27 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: All America Bank 1.5%
Replies: 57
Views: 60469

Re: All America Bank 1.5%

I use a small mutual savings bank in Mass. It gives me the illusion of safety!
by Jeffreyalan
Sun Jul 16, 2017 9:55 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Question on Treasury Ladder
Replies: 4
Views: 6026

Question on Treasury Ladder

I am going to set up a bond ladder at Treasury Direct and was wondering what everyone's opinions are about the length of the ladder. 1 year, 3 year or 5 year or more? This is not for the PP cash specifically. Just for some medium to deep cash.

Thanks!

Jeffrey
by Jeffreyalan
Mon Jun 05, 2017 9:03 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: T-Bill Yield Question
Replies: 12
Views: 11478

Re: T-Bill Yield Question

Thanks! I have recently come into some cash and I have decided to set up a Treasury Direct account and keep it in treasury bills. So any ideas on that subject are very helpful.
by Jeffreyalan
Mon Jun 05, 2017 8:49 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: T-Bill Yield Question
Replies: 12
Views: 11478

Re: T-Bill Yield Question

You need to share the links to those old rolling treasury bill posts!
by Jeffreyalan
Thu Jun 01, 2017 7:53 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP as savings account
Replies: 7
Views: 5374

Re: PP as savings account

It sounds like you're describing long-term savings. That's what the PP was designed for, built-in cash management and all. Go for it! However, you should still have enough cash to act as an emergency fund - usually something like 6-12 months expenses. The cash allocation of the PP is perfect for th...
by Jeffreyalan
Wed May 31, 2017 9:23 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP as savings account
Replies: 7
Views: 5374

Re: PP as savings account

From my perspective, the PP is a great thing to use for this. Actual dips in the PP are rare; in general, it keeps on doing its thing very consistently. And, even if there is a dip, the PP has cash you can tap into rather than selling low. I think so too. I tested it out with a tiny bit of money fo...
by Jeffreyalan
Wed May 31, 2017 9:05 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP as savings account
Replies: 7
Views: 5374

PP as savings account

I wanted to get everyone's opinions on this topic. I am finally in a position where I can save about 40% of my income going forward. What are some thoughts on using the PP in lieu of a traditional savings account? This money is not earmarked for anything in particular. I would only need to tap into ...
by Jeffreyalan
Tue May 16, 2017 3:30 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Understanding Cash Will Make You a Happier Investor (Tyler)
Replies: 41
Views: 32948

Re: Understanding Cash Will Make You a Happier Investor (Tyler)

Do most of you keep your cash in Treasury Direct? Or in a brokerage?
by Jeffreyalan
Sun Mar 05, 2017 7:01 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: How many funds?
Replies: 11
Views: 9998

How many funds?

What does everyone go with as far as the number of stock funds in the PP? Right now i just have 1 fund, EQAL a Russell 1000 Equal Weight ETF. Do most of you just do one fund or do you add in Emerging Markets, Small Cap Intl etc?
by Jeffreyalan
Mon Feb 13, 2017 9:27 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: VUSUX vs. TLT
Replies: 10
Views: 10991

Re: VUSUX vs. TLT

Does anyone use TLO instead of TLT? It's commission free at Schwab. And i cannot tell a big difference in the makeup of the funds.
by Jeffreyalan
Mon Nov 07, 2016 12:28 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Newbie question
Replies: 22
Views: 11589

Newbie question

Hello,

Just setting up the PP for my family savings. Does everyone here use mostly individual long term bonds or TLT? Just wondering.

thanks!

Jeffrey
by Jeffreyalan
Sat Sep 10, 2016 8:02 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Question on LTB and cash
Replies: 6
Views: 4811

Re: Question on LTB and cash

Doesn't the book suggest the longest bonds possible? In that case EDV is better than TLT right?
by Jeffreyalan
Sat Sep 10, 2016 2:17 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Question on LTB and cash
Replies: 6
Views: 4811

Question on LTB and cash

Hello. I am newly implementing the PP and i have 2 questions.

#1) I see a lot of people here recommend individual bonds instead of ETFs for the long term portion. What maturities do you buy and when do you sell?

#2) How about using 1 year cds for the cash portion?

Thanks!

Jeffrey