Search found 2066 matches

by Tyler
Thu Mar 28, 2013 5:07 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Another robot story...
Replies: 56
Views: 13941

Re: Another robot story...

The printing press did not make everyone a publisher. The cotton gin did not make everyone a textile mill owner. And robots will not make everyone a manufacturer. The utopia of an "evolved" 100% owners class neglects to recognize that all men are not equal. A machine is only as useful as t...
by Tyler
Thu Mar 28, 2013 4:24 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: How low can you go?
Replies: 48
Views: 16818

Re: How low can you go?

Is this a false choice? If rates drop that low treasuries will have shot though the roof and (presuming you're already in the PP) you'll be selling LTTs rather than buying and you'll naturally be putting any new money into other lagging assets.  If you're planning to sell them all high before rates ...
by Tyler
Wed Mar 27, 2013 9:26 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: 400K for Life
Replies: 5
Views: 2009

Re: 400K for Life

dualstow wrote: Maybe she's "worth every dime" like one source says in the article. ;-)
The guy who said that is, of course, a fellow county supervisor.  ::)

And people wonder how a wealthy state like California goes bankrupt.
by Tyler
Wed Mar 27, 2013 11:29 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Another robot story...
Replies: 56
Views: 13941

Re: Another robot story...

I think the real question is not "what will robot-replaceable people do for money?" but "what will society look like when increasing numbers of people have nothing to offer?" Just a hypothesis -- Like the Bay Area.  When the workforce skews away from manual labor and all the rem...
by Tyler
Wed Mar 27, 2013 11:06 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Exiting the PP
Replies: 72
Views: 30113

Re: Exiting the PP

No need to worry, Budd.  In my experience, it's human nature for people to constantly be looking for ways to optimize investments.  That goes triple for anyone in engineering or finance, as it's how they're hard wired to think (I struggle with this often). You won't find a single investment in the w...
by Tyler
Mon Mar 25, 2013 11:17 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Exiting the PP
Replies: 72
Views: 30113

Re: Exiting the PP

BTW, your portfolio seems well thought out, Desert.  I can't fault you for being concerned about rising rates. Personally, I like the PP/VP distinction for forcing me into quantifying my confidence in my ability to time the market. The more confident I am, the larger the percentage I put in my VP. F...
by Tyler
Mon Mar 25, 2013 10:45 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Exiting the PP
Replies: 72
Views: 30113

Re: Exiting the PP

But when the math consists solely of poorly-fit regressions of past human decisions, even equations are unpredictable. The stock market is a psychological human construction and not a law of nature.
by Tyler
Sun Mar 24, 2013 6:05 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Low-Stress Jobs
Replies: 33
Views: 15603

Re: Low-Stress Jobs

My general advice would be to first try a different type of company (small versus large, etc.) before giving up on the career.  I've seen some folks really thrive after making such a change.  For me, the dissatisfaction runs a bit deeper, as I don't find the work all that interesting and probably s...
by Tyler
Fri Mar 22, 2013 10:04 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Low-Stress Jobs
Replies: 33
Views: 15603

Re: Low-Stress Jobs

Coffee wrote: As for stress free jobs: I always thought that getting a job working at the front desk of a tanning salon would be about as good as it gets.  Especially one in Malibu, California. 
Ha!  Nice.  I'll have to add that to my list.
by Tyler
Fri Mar 22, 2013 12:44 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: What's your favorite bank?
Replies: 14
Views: 11350

What's your favorite bank?

I'm considering moving my checking account out of Citibank, and am interested in what banks the people here would recommend for convenience, fees, service, and overall safety (FDIC aside, I'd prefer to work with the bank most unlikely to need a bailout from the Feds). I have a Fidelity brokerage acc...
by Tyler
Fri Mar 22, 2013 10:51 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Low-Stress Jobs
Replies: 33
Views: 15603

Re: Low-Stress Jobs

Same boat, Tortoise.  Engineering can wear you out. If your PP can support you for a while, you might consider taking a sabbatical to decompress.  Evaluating new careers is really difficult when you're stressed about the current one.  Here's my working list for things I may want to try once I'm FI e...
by Tyler
Tue Mar 19, 2013 10:42 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The 5th Pillar of the PP has arrived!
Replies: 52
Views: 22117

Re: The 5th Pillar of the PP has arrived!

For me, the 5th pillar is a mortgage-free home.  Working on that one.

I'm with AgAuMoney -- the pillars are to support the roof.  The career is to fund building them to the needed height and strength.  :)

Of course, now I also need to work more to afford my nice new mattress.
by Tyler
Tue Mar 19, 2013 11:13 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: The 5th Pillar of the PP has arrived!
Replies: 52
Views: 22117

Re: The 5th Pillar of the PP has arrived!

My favorite comment:
Curled Latin American horse tail is the BEST kind of curled horse tail! Let the other mattress companies cut corners and use cheaper Canadian or Australian horse tail, some of which is UNCURLED, or worse, given a bad perm. If you want the real thing you gotta go to THESE guys!
by Tyler
Tue Mar 19, 2013 10:19 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Cyprus: 10% Savings confiscation
Replies: 114
Views: 40715

Re: Cyprus: 10% Savings confiscation

So now apparently the Russian gas company Gazprom is offering to bail out cypress banks in exchange for gas exploration rights in Cypress.  And conveniently leave all that Russian money untouched by the EU.  http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/report-russian-company-offers-bailout-cyprus-exchange-ga...
by Tyler
Mon Mar 18, 2013 4:59 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Cyprus: 10% Savings confiscation
Replies: 114
Views: 40715

Re: Cyprus: 10% Savings confiscation

Personally, days like today make me thankful for being diversified and not overweight in any one asset (including cash or gold). The one thing it does make me think about changing, however, is my exposure to credit risk. Watching the government rewrite the finance rules on the fly is a good reminder...
by Tyler
Mon Mar 11, 2013 10:59 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Home/Automobile Insurance
Replies: 8
Views: 9297

Re: Home/Automobile Insurance

I also have USAA and have been very pleased with their service.  Several years ago a drunk driver hit our car parked in front of our house (luckily we weren't in it) and totaled it.  One call to USAA, and we had a rental car that afternoon.  A appraiser checked out the damage within a day or two, pr...
by Tyler
Fri Mar 08, 2013 7:31 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Generating "alpha" in life
Replies: 13
Views: 6494

Re: Generating "alpha" in life

I've also spent a bit of time and energy the last few years researching and planning for early "retirement".  For me, it's not so much about wanting to abandon all work, but about simplifying my life to the point where I have the financial flexibility to prioritize rewarding work over a tr...
by Tyler
Fri Mar 08, 2013 11:07 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Troubled Waters Ahead for the PP
Replies: 64
Views: 26799

Re: Troubled Waters Ahead for the PP

It's all about the timing. Lacking the ability to see the future, an active investor will always make changes a day late and a dollar short. I understand the fear of losing money. But my own experience is that chasing the hot money is ultimately irrational and eventually ends painfully.  Now I may b...
by Tyler
Tue Mar 05, 2013 12:00 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: TLT considered harmful
Replies: 46
Views: 27290

Re: TLT considered harmful

Thanks for starting this thread, rickb.  Great summary on TLT.  When you put it that succinctly, it really makes one question just how risk tolerant they are.  Truthfully, I've been back and forth on the convenience/risk argument for TLT for a while now, and have argued both sides.  But the more I e...
by Tyler
Fri Mar 01, 2013 12:25 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: 170 Million Jobs Lost Due to Sequestration
Replies: 15
Views: 4181

Re: 170 Million Jobs Lost Due to Sequestration

clacy wrote: It's quite a statement about the US electorate that someone as dumb as Maxine Waters can be elected.
Reminds me of Rep. Frank Johnson expressing concern that Guam will tip over and capsize because of overpopulation.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c7m6aewquco
by Tyler
Mon Feb 25, 2013 1:23 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: How exactly to hold short-term bonds
Replies: 17
Views: 8132

Re: How exactly to hold short-term bonds

For PP cash in a retirement account I can definitely see the appeal of a simple STT ladder, especially with an auto roll feature like at Fidelity.  If you won't be touching that money for a long time, you don't really care about letting each bill/bond take a year or two to reach maturity.
by Tyler
Mon Feb 25, 2013 12:12 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: First time bond buyer - VGuard - Did I do ok?
Replies: 18
Views: 7471

Re: First time bond buyer - VGuard - Did I do ok?

I used to think that I wanted to be a manager. But as I got older, tried it a bit, and talked to friends who were promoted I quickly realized its not for me. For me, engineering is an interesting challenge but with a high burnout rate. The constant sprinting from deadline to deadline just isn't sust...
by Tyler
Fri Feb 22, 2013 10:53 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Joe Biden Says "Buy A Shotgun"
Replies: 12
Views: 2251

Re: Joe Biden Says "Buy A Shotgun"

RuralEngineer wrote: Salazar said: "That's why we have call boxes, that's why we have safe zones, that's why we have the whistles."!
I can finally sleep better knowing that rape is prohibited in specific zones. 
by Tyler
Wed Feb 20, 2013 7:38 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Marketplace Fairness Act of 2013
Replies: 30
Views: 7383

Re: Marketplace Fairness Act of 2013

The state governments are just looking for a new revenue source This. The states just want money.  California will be able to collect sales tax from a mom & pop hardware store in Iowa if they add an online cart, even if those taxes don't benefit the company in any way (roads, infrasturcture, et...
by Tyler
Fri Feb 15, 2013 4:16 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: LAPD Response in Dorner Case
Replies: 34
Views: 9033

Re: LAPD Response in Dorner Case

To put the cherry on top of this whole fiasco, it now looks like some or all of the people who helped lead the police to Dorner may not get paid any reward money due to a loophole in the language of the reward notices. Specifically, Dorner was never "apprehended": Ah...  So perhaps the gu...