Search found 243 matches

by eufo
Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:08 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2017 PP Return Poll
Replies: 33
Views: 19100

Re: 2017 PP Return Poll

Before I answer this, it becomes a bit confusing for me to break down my gains since I'm constantly throwing money into my accounts. My finance software offers up ROI and IRR for possible metrics. For this year, ROI is around 7% while IRR is around 13%. Even after reading up on these, I'm not follow...
by eufo
Fri Dec 22, 2017 7:05 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: U.S. life expectancy falls for second straight year — as drug overdoses soar
Replies: 20
Views: 11047

Re: U.S. life expectancy falls for second straight year — as drug overdoses soar

Libertarian666 wrote:There is a very simple way to reduce this plague noticeably. It even SAVES the government money.

Deschedule cannabis.
It's been happening, slowly but surely. I predict it will be nationwide recreational use within a decade.
by eufo
Thu Dec 21, 2017 6:58 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: U.S. life expectancy falls for second straight year — as drug overdoses soar
Replies: 20
Views: 11047

Re: U.S. life expectancy falls for second straight year — as drug overdoses soar

"but life expectancy calculations are forward-looking projections"

Zombie apocalypse and SkyNet are skewing the numbers
by eufo
Thu Dec 21, 2017 6:45 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3689
Views: 1656480

Re: The GOLD scream room

ochotona wrote:Some dumped shares of SGOL right at market close! Down 0.42%, but gold was up. Talk about huge tracking error. Crazy nuts.
Yeah, it seems to take turns that GLD and IAU do not. It'll rebound tomorrow (relatively).
by eufo
Mon Dec 18, 2017 11:15 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Out of balance
Replies: 55
Views: 29792

Re: Out of balance

That's quite a pickle. It's one I considered awhile ago when I was contemplating how to divvy my holdings between my taxable account and non-taxable. In my case, I decided to hold my allocations the exact same in each account. The main reason... I can only dump so much into my non-taxable per year a...
by eufo
Sun Dec 17, 2017 11:30 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3689
Views: 1656480

Re: The GOLD scream room

What about the coin at 1260...forgot that one eh? See, that prove my point. It's in my possession, I forgot about it. But the ETFs are like video games, they tempt you to buy or sell. This is an interesting, although expected, phenomenon. The less liquid an item is, the less likely we are to be tra...
by eufo
Thu Dec 07, 2017 6:23 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3689
Views: 1656480

Re: The GOLD scream room

What can I say after a day like today? Ugh. I look at the long term chart, and I see a shallow bowl forming, the edges are mid-2013 to mid-2018, the middle (bottom) was late 2015. A five year wide bottoming process, in other words. With no guarantees. I've learned not to trust charts, but I hope yo...
by eufo
Thu Dec 07, 2017 5:13 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3689
Views: 1656480

Re: The GOLD scream room

What can I say after a day like today? Ugh.
by eufo
Thu Dec 07, 2017 5:11 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Anaconda Mining
Replies: 5
Views: 3851

Re: Anaconda Mining

This is your first post? Seems kinda suspect.

I liked the video and wish Anaconda Mining well.
by eufo
Thu Dec 07, 2017 5:03 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin
Replies: 114
Views: 55582

Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

eufo wrote:I'm waiting for a muggle to ask me about Bitcoin. That's when I'm calling a top.
It happened today... I'm calling the top @ $16,000/Bitcoin.

I could be wrong, but here we go.
by eufo
Thu Nov 30, 2017 5:14 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin
Replies: 114
Views: 55582

Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

I'm waiting for a muggle to ask me about Bitcoin. That's when I'm calling a top. I get the Harry Potter reference, but does that mean a non investor? Yes. I have a few friends that fit this mold and always seem to ask about things right as they've hit their maximum exposure. Not sure why I call the...
by eufo
Wed Nov 29, 2017 9:55 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin
Replies: 114
Views: 55582

Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

I'm waiting for a muggle to ask me about Bitcoin. That's when I'm calling a top.
by eufo
Tue Nov 28, 2017 7:11 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Best place to cash in Bitcoin for USD?
Replies: 15
Views: 11301

Re: Best place to cash in Bitcoin for USD?

Cullen Roche wrote a nice piece on bitcoin yesterday, also has lots of other ideas that resonate with HBs. I kind of like the idea of the addition of a dumbass portfolio to the PP/VP mix. ...with such a new technology everyone is essentially a dumbass and the most dangerous dumbasses are often the ...
by eufo
Fri Nov 24, 2017 6:42 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Market Capitalization
Replies: 10
Views: 9468

Re: Market Capitalization

Eufo, your concerns about market cap weighting are real, they have been addressed, there was a thought-provoking podcast with Rob Arnott of Research Affiliates, here is the link. http://mebfaber.2.cavendoclient.com/2016/09/07/episode-18-rob-arnott-people-need-ratchet-return-expectations/ Alternativ...
by eufo
Thu Nov 23, 2017 10:12 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Market Capitalization
Replies: 10
Views: 9468

Re: Market Capitalization

I think the flaw in your example is that you’re investing equal dollar amounts in the three indexes, but the three indexes represent very different total market capitalizations. Weight your investment in each index by its total market capitalization, and the “paradox” disappears and you’ve basicall...
by eufo
Thu Nov 23, 2017 10:26 am
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Market Capitalization
Replies: 10
Views: 9468

Market Capitalization

Ok, this is a thought that keeps rattling around in my head and it's making me rethink a few things. When we invest in an indexed ETF (like SPY), our money is skewed towards the equities that have the most market capitalization. I'll use IVV (Large Cap S&P 500), IJH (Mid Cap S&P 400), and IJR (Small...
by eufo
Wed Nov 22, 2017 7:01 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Meb Faber Gold Episode
Replies: 4
Views: 3861

Re: Meb Faber Gold Episode

It's really easy to hate gold. I hated it before owning it. Then when it went down in value almost immediately, I hated it more.

Hating something isn't enough reason for me to sell it, however. I see its value.
by eufo
Tue Nov 21, 2017 6:45 am
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3689
Views: 1656480

Re: The GOLD scream room

Yeah, no kidding. Big moves are more interesting, though, admit it. ;)
by eufo
Sun Nov 19, 2017 11:01 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin
Replies: 114
Views: 55582

Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

False alarm; I was reading it wrong. Even though I googled my own wallet string, that seems to be Marc’s that I was looking at. (Zero bitcoins? Hope he has many wallets). I guess that’s the way the ledger works. Turns out I still have the 0.1 btc. I’m sure I read that wrong a few years ago, too. En...
by eufo
Sun Nov 19, 2017 10:00 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin
Replies: 114
Views: 55582

Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

dualstow wrote:I will read the pm in a sec. I just googled my wallet string which I found on page 7. Looks like I have 56 transactions and a balance of zero. Funny, I should have only one transaction:Marc’s gift. Hmm.
Uh oh... sounds like you got ganked!
by eufo
Fri Nov 17, 2017 7:10 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin
Replies: 114
Views: 55582

Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/nov/08/cryptocurrency-300m-dollars-stolen-bug-ether "More than $300m of cryptocurrency has been lost after a series of bugs in a popular digital wallet service led one curious developer to accidentally take control of and then lock up the funds, according...
by eufo
Wed Nov 15, 2017 6:43 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 1438
Views: 645219

Re: Stock scream room

I thought I was gutsy at about 35% stocks compared to others on this forum. I'm the timid one!
by eufo
Wed Nov 15, 2017 6:40 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Teaching gender stereotypes
Replies: 19
Views: 12314

Re: Teaching gender stereotypes

My point is, I feel that all the talk about gender stereotypes is a bit insulting to some of the things that many women naturally prioritize in their lives. I don't see why if men and women are not exactly the same, they are bad. I have some strong opinions on this topic, but suffice it to say... I...
by eufo
Wed Nov 15, 2017 4:25 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin
Replies: 114
Views: 55582

Re: Gold is Losing Buyers to Bitcoin

It's wrong to bet your house on a crypto-currency, m'kay? That's bad.
by eufo
Tue Nov 14, 2017 9:30 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Teaching gender stereotypes
Replies: 19
Views: 12314

Re: Teaching gender stereotypes

My point is, I feel that all the talk about gender stereotypes is a bit insulting to some of the things that many women naturally prioritize in their lives. I don't see why if men and women are not exactly the same, they are bad. I have some strong opinions on this topic, but suffice it to say... I...