Search found 319 matches

by drumminj
Tue Jan 01, 2019 11:13 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2018 Results Post Here
Replies: 26
Views: 17916

Re: 2018 Results Post Here

-1.91% overall, roughly. Contributed by buying the lagging asset

Ending allocation:

Cash: 28.33%
Gold: 22.38%
Stock: 23.24%
LTT: 26.05%
by drumminj
Mon Dec 31, 2018 8:14 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Tight Money Coming?
Replies: 4
Views: 3260

Re: Tight Money Coming?

boglerdude wrote: Fri Dec 21, 2018 12:08 am Banks get 2.4% IOER simply for existing, and a 6% dividend from the Fed
Anyone interested in pulling together and starting a bank?????
by drumminj
Mon Dec 31, 2018 8:06 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Worst investing year ever...
Replies: 67
Views: 38579

Re: Worst investing year ever...

Well whaddya know? The 4x25 HBPP works. I didn't end up quite as balanced as you (I did contribute some to lagging assets this year), but look to have ended up down ~1.91% on the year, heaviest in cash at 28.33%. Note that I haven't annualized/pro-rated my contributions, just assume they were all p...
by drumminj
Mon Dec 31, 2018 9:50 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Trump as tragicomedy
Replies: 958
Views: 390513

Re: Trump as tragicomedy

boglerdude wrote: Mon Dec 31, 2018 12:34 am > get rid of the welfare state

Let people die?
Is this question meant sincerely?

People will always die. There will never be enough of "other peoples' money (or labor)" to provide food, shelter, healthcare, etc, for every human in the world. So where do you draw the line?
by drumminj
Sun Dec 30, 2018 5:12 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Worst investing year ever...
Replies: 67
Views: 38579

Re: Worst investing year ever...

buddtholomew wrote: Sun Dec 30, 2018 5:11 pm In Mr. Smith’s defense, I believe he meant don’t let any asset drift lower than 20% or higher than 35% - Ive heard something similar but with 10% re-balance bands the lower end of the range is 15%, higher end 35%
Yes, I was not meaning to give Smith a hard time, was just making a bad joke
by drumminj
Sun Dec 30, 2018 4:20 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Worst investing year ever...
Replies: 67
Views: 38579

Re: Worst investing year ever...

For what it's worth, Harry Browne in Best Laid Plans said that he hoped the reader would put no less than 20% and no more than 35% in each of the given asset classes. Maybe that changed in the intervening time between that book and his radio show. If I could just figure out how to put 35% in each o...
by drumminj
Mon Dec 24, 2018 1:09 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Purpose of the PP
Replies: 152
Views: 78514

Re: Purpose of the PP

Cortopassi wrote: Mon Dec 24, 2018 12:35 pm25% cash for the past couple months would have been nice, vs. the 10% I am at.
Yeah, I was a bit bummed being 4x25 earlier (vs golden butterfly-ish) in the year as stocks out-performed, but right now am happy to be 25% cash
by drumminj
Thu Dec 20, 2018 8:34 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Purpose of the PP
Replies: 152
Views: 78514

Re: Purpose of the PP

Warren buffet?
by drumminj
Tue Oct 16, 2018 9:04 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Purpose of the PP
Replies: 152
Views: 78514

Re: Purpose of the PP

I'm using it as my 'primary' vehicle, though I also have extra cash, and some Wellesley as well. I run a standard 4x25.
by drumminj
Thu Aug 02, 2018 10:08 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: The GOLD scream room
Replies: 3693
Views: 1787970

Re: The GOLD scream room

Whew almost broke 1213... Gold sucks. Figure we break 1200 tomorrow. 1.5 years wiped away, yet again. I am channeling budd here... Are you selling anytime soon? No? Then it doesn't really matter. As you know (and have said), it's about the portfolio, not the components in isolation. All have draw-d...
by drumminj
Thu Mar 29, 2018 10:34 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Microsoft 4th quarter results
Replies: 3
Views: 2215

Re: Microsoft 4th quarter results

bedraggled wrote:Thanks for the quick response.
Sorry I don't have anything better to offer. I don't follow their earning so have no recommendations
by drumminj
Thu Mar 29, 2018 9:04 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Microsoft 4th quarter results
Replies: 3
Views: 2215

Re: Microsoft 4th quarter results

Not sure if it's a factor, but MSFT's most recent earnings were for their Q2, not their Q4. Their fiscal year ends on June 30th.
by drumminj
Wed Mar 28, 2018 10:11 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Flying !st class with a free upgrade?
Replies: 17
Views: 9452

Re: Flying !st class with a free upgrade?

My SO travels frequently for work, so we often get upgraded. I agree it's hard to go back to 'cattle class' once you've gotten used to first... I've gotten to a point where if the cost of 1st is 2x or less the cost of coach, I just buy it. But I'm at a place in life where can afford to splurge on my...
by drumminj
Wed Mar 14, 2018 11:30 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Realistic Expectations for Long Bonds
Replies: 66
Views: 42215

Re: Realistic Expectations for Long Bonds

Hal wrote:Father lived in Germany through WW2. No portfolio allocation would have been profitable. - Got out alive, he was happy.
I suspect physical gold, especially if held in another country, would have helped significantly?
by drumminj
Mon Feb 05, 2018 7:36 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Stock scream room
Replies: 1438
Views: 670192

Re: Stock scream room

This is what is supposed to happen, stocks crushed, bonds and gold are making up for it today! Not quite making up for it, but I sure feel good about selling ~10% of my stocks last week to rebalance, and finishing my rebalancing today by buying LTT during the early dip, and some gold yesterday befo...
by drumminj
Sun Feb 04, 2018 5:16 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: The Bond Dream Room
Replies: 554
Views: 373953

Re: The Bond Dream Room

I’m interested to know who among us plans to rebalance into LTT’s? I just did, to a degree. Felt the itch and was at about 30% stocks so sold 10% of my holdings and rebalanced into LTT, cash, and gold. I'll admit it hurts to see LTT going down right after the rebalance (feel a bit better with stock...
by drumminj
Fri Dec 29, 2017 6:09 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2017 PP Return Poll
Replies: 33
Views: 19564

Re: 2017 PP Return Poll

Don wrote:Gold: 22%
Stock: 27.5%
Cash/STT: 25.4%
LTT: 25%

That's an excellent return!
Those #s are my ending allocation, not return ;)
by drumminj
Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:01 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 2017 PP Return Poll
Replies: 33
Views: 19564

Re: 2017 PP Return Poll

10.4% here, but I continued averaging into the PP this year. Increased my allocation to PP by about 15%, mostly by buying the lagging investment.

Ending the year at:

Gold: 22%
Stock: 27.5%
Cash/STT: 25.4%
LTT: 25%

Have to say I'm happy with the overall performance :)
by drumminj
Sun Oct 15, 2017 10:08 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Never buy airline tickets from 3rd parties
Replies: 20
Views: 12725

Re: Never buy airline tickets from 3rd parties

Followup if anyone is interested. I'll reveal at this point that the online agent is Expedia, because they have finally decided to step up. The key was to get to "Tier 3 Customer Service". The lower tiers just sent me form letters with a bunch of words adding up to "get lost", b...
by drumminj
Wed Sep 13, 2017 9:12 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Equifax hack
Replies: 57
Views: 30474

Re: Equifax hack

The honorable thing would be for all 3 credit bureaus to offer free credit freezes for the next year. YEAR. Not 30 days. Absolutely agree with this. I've not frozen through Equifax yet because honestly I don't want to give them any money for their own f-up. But they absolutely should foot the bill ...
by drumminj
Fri Sep 08, 2017 10:34 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Equifax hack
Replies: 57
Views: 30474

Re: Equifax hack

WiseOne wrote:I think it might depend which state you're in.
I believe it does. Sadly, it appears WA state does not appear have any favorable laws, so it's about $10/bureau
by drumminj
Fri Sep 08, 2017 9:10 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Equifax hack
Replies: 57
Views: 30474

Equifax hack

I went to do the same, but it really grinds my gears I need to *pay* to do that.
by drumminj
Tue Aug 22, 2017 10:50 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Charlottesville
Replies: 122
Views: 74942

Re: Charlottesville

I think it was the Trump voters (particularly in the primary), that disrespected their fellow Americans. I'll be honest -- I have mixed feelings about responding to this, as to me it at worst looks like bait, at best is demeaning others you disagree with. I will respond to this post, but I do hope ...
by drumminj
Tue Aug 22, 2017 9:32 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Charlottesville
Replies: 122
Views: 74942

Re: Charlottesville

I also have no love for a blowhard like Trump. But I do have sympathy for the masses of "little people" who supported him because they no longer can get a good job in this country, in large part due to insane immigration policies over the last few decades. So, another reason to support Tr...
by drumminj
Tue Aug 22, 2017 8:58 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: Treasury Direct Safety
Replies: 11
Views: 12652

Re: Treasury Direct Safety

I would have monthly bank and brokerage statements and I would have legal systems at my disposal to get back any funds that were lost or taken. For some reason I just do not have that confidence in Treasury Direct. Can anyone talk me thru this worry???! Thank you for asking this question, as you ha...