I follow what you are saying. However, unlike you, I have zero intuition regarding where any markets are going. I subscribe to the belief that they are fairly random and that no one can predict. Plus, I am highly logical and formulaic. Therefore there is a strong draw for me to the Permanent Portfolio because it is clear and black and white and requires NO judgements or forecasts on my part.mathjak107 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 25, 2019 4:34 pmWhile I have a lot of money in the pp at this stage I still believe rising rates as a longer term trend is kryptonite to the pp if gold and treasuries stay joined at the hip ...vnatale wrote: ↑Wed Dec 25, 2019 3:43 pm I know that is has been discussed prior. And, I know I can go back to read those discussion (many of which I have). However, I'd like an up-to-date discussion in which I can participate as opposed to only reading prior ones.
My latest goal is to (FINALLY!) go 100% classic Permanent Portfolio in the first week of January. And, me saying this in public puts the good form of pressure on me so as to make it a priority to accomplish that goal by that time.
I know exactly what I'll be doing for the stock / equity purchase. I know exactly what I'll be doing for the cash purchase and what I will, hopefully, soon be transforming that to. I know what I'll be doing with the long term bonds purchase while still having some questions as to how I'll be making that investment more pure. I have the most questions regarding the gold purchase.
But the absolute FIRST decision I need to make is where of three locations each of these investments should go: 1) taxable 2) traditional retirement 3) Roth retirement.
A few months ago someone (Thank You!) here recommended this excellent book: The Overtaxed Investor: Slash Your Tax Bill & Be a Tax Alpha Dog https://www.amazon.com/Overtaxed-Invest ... l_huc_item
I immediately acquired it and quickly read it.
Now I am reading it in a studying fashion and will be putting portions of it here to get counter views to the author's thoughts.
Over the last several months I've been struck by the overall astuteness of the members of this forum. It feels like a privilege to be here. And, I highly value many of the opinions that I read in this forum. There is generally a high level of thought and logic behind them.
Vinny
In my opinion I see nothing wrong with say 2/3’s of ones money in it . But I believe in hedging my bets by not doing 100% ....
I still keep 1/3 in a very conservative portfolio which is still 25% equities but is far less interest rate sensitive ...it uses bond funds that are far less sensitive , like floating rate bond funds , short duration high yield , some corporate bonds , etc .
Just in case 3 out of 4 pp components get to fixated on rising rates
I have a ton of investing inertia. Once I set upon a plan, it stays that way for decades because of how intensively I'll study something before moving on to something else. I'm now at the point where I am about to fully embrace the classic Permanent Portfolio 100%. Not looking for any enhancements (except maybe possibly broadening it to a Golden Butterfly). But THE issue for me right now with my current mindset of going fully Permanent Portfolio is in which of the three asset locations I put each of the four Permanent Portfolio investments.
Last month was the last time I analyzed my investable portfolio.
21% of it was in taxable accounts while 79% was in retirement accounts.
And, of those retirement accounts, 42% of it is traditional while 58% of it is Roth.
Vinny