Gold Top

Discussion of the Gold portion of the Permanent Portfolio

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Gold Top

$5000
0
No votes
$6000
1
20%
$7500
0
No votes
$10000
1
20%
$12500
0
No votes
$15000
0
No votes
$20000
0
No votes
$25000
1
20%
$35000
0
No votes
$50000
2
40%
 
Total votes: 5
Jack Jones
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Gold Top

Post by Jack Jones »

In the 1974 You Can Profit From A Monetary Crisis, the man who taught you not to trust prognosticators, predicted (gold was around $100):
Harry Browne wrote:There's really no way to determine the upside potential of gold, but a conservative estimate would be $300-$500 per ounce within five years - and possibly even within a year. It wouldn't shock me if it reached $1,000 per ounce within five years - even without runaway inflation.
It had recently gone up 3x, but Harry predicted it had another 3-5x to go. It topped out around $670 six years later.

We sit at $5000, which is about a 1-2x run up. How much more runway do we have?
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Smith1776
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Re: Gold Top

Post by Smith1776 »

I voted for $50,000.

If there was a $100,000 option, I would have voted for that. ^-^
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Xan
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Re: Gold Top

Post by Xan »

It's not terribly meaningful to ask for a prediction of the top without giving either a timeframe or a definition of how much lower it must go than its record for that record to be considered a top.
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yankees60
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Re: Gold Top

Post by yankees60 »

Jack Jones wrote: Thu Feb 19, 2026 9:14 am In the 1974 You Can Profit From A Monetary Crisis, the man who taught you not to trust prognosticators, predicted (gold was around $100):
Harry Browne wrote:There's really no way to determine the upside potential of gold, but a conservative estimate would be $300-$500 per ounce within five years - and possibly even within a year. It wouldn't shock me if it reached $1,000 per ounce within five years - even without runaway inflation.
It had recently gone up 3x, but Harry predicted it had another 3-5x to go. It topped out around $670 six years later.

We sit at $5000, which is about a 1-2x run up. How much more runway do we have?
I had that book.
Above provided by: Vinny, who always says: "I only regret that I have but one lap to give to my cats." AND "I'm a more-is-more person."
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