Definitive evidence gold is not a bubble?

Discussion of the Gold portion of the Permanent Portfolio

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murphy_p_t
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Definitive evidence gold is not a bubble?

Post by murphy_p_t »

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/ ... Abyss.html

Is this definitive evidence that gold is not at the end of its bull run?
Stunt
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Re: Definitive evidence gold is not a bubble?

Post by Stunt »

Tough to say. I am a hard money advocate, but I don't think it's as easy as comparing to US money supply.  While the US's monetary base has increased drastically, other countries were not hit hard by the financial crisis or have rolled out austerity and the global monetary base has not increased at the same rate. Remember gold knows no borders and isn't just a currency hedge for the US exclusively...

According to the same chart from your source, since 1990, monetary base increased 7 times. The global monetary base in the same period was up 3.6 times. Gold has gone up since 1990 over 4 times (400 to 1600).

Not as definitive as I would like...
whatchamacallit
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Re: Definitive evidence gold is not a bubble?

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MachineGhost
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Re: Definitive evidence gold is not a bubble?

Post by MachineGhost »

No hyperbolic blowoff top == no bubble.
"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes

Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet.  I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
dragoncar
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Re: Definitive evidence gold is not a bubble?

Post by dragoncar »

MachineGhost wrote: No hyperbolic blowoff top == no bubble.
Even so, "no bubble" doesn't mean gold prices won't go down, either.  Just like "bubble" doesn't mean that it won't go up.
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MachineGhost
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Re: Definitive evidence gold is not a bubble?

Post by MachineGhost »

dragoncar wrote: Even so, "no bubble" doesn't mean gold prices won't go down, either.  Just like "bubble" doesn't mean that it won't go up.
True, but we won't have a drawn out Japanese-style deflation without a mania blowoff top.
"All generous minds have a horror of what are commonly called 'Facts'. They are the brute beasts of the intellectual domain." -- Thomas Hobbes

Disclaimer: I am not a broker, dealer, investment advisor, physician, theologian or prophet.  I should not be considered as legally permitted to render such advice!
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