Re: Is Trump doing a good job?
Posted: Tue Nov 12, 2019 5:53 pm
He might not be the smartest guy, WiseOne.
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If enough people bid down the interest rate because they think the world is becoming deflationary, you would eventually progress past 0% and get into negative rates. People would be asking the government to take their $1,000 and give them back $995, instead of the $990 it would have deflated to for some reason. If the market (people) thought this was plausible, it would be a rational movement towards negative rates. I don't think this is the case, so it must be:WiseOne wrote: ↑Tue Nov 12, 2019 5:47 pm I imagine that the stock market would go wild. People would switch from cash to stocks for the (non-negative) dividends. This kinda did happen after 2009....dividend stocks have been bid up to absurd P/E ratios. Also, holders of long bonds whose price goes through the roof when the interest rates drop would rejoice. I expect gold would tank.
I don't get why Trump is still calling for negative interest rates when the economy and stock market are both looking GOOD. That is just bizarre. Why would the Fed reduce interest rates in this scenario?
I guess.MangoMan wrote: ↑Tue Nov 12, 2019 7:42 pmAu contraire. And I think Kriegs is over thinking it. To me it's simple. As Bill Clinton famously said, "It's the economy, stupid." If the market tanks between now and the election, it makes Trump's reelection prospects more difficult. How do you goose the economy and insure a stock market rally? Lower interest rates. Trump knows this, and if he can talk the Fed into doing it, the economic reaction will make him look really good right before the vote.
Tech, maybe six months ago, you asked what specifically I didn’t like about Trump’s actions or policies (not words), and I’ve certainly been taking my time to supply more than a few. There are some that actions and policies i like.
Hmm....as the Palestinians have remained impoverished wards of the international community, with threats of terror their chief negotiating tool. Most Arab states moved on long ago. They now treat Israel as a normal player in the eternal great game of regional power balancing. So now has the Trump administration. And for that, it has been excoriated.
The administration’s approach is a disaster, critics say, because it concedes so much to Israel upfront that the Palestinians will never agree to negotiate. The critics are correct about the unlikely prospects for a deal anytime soon. But that makes the Trump administration different from its predecessors how? U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry squandered more than a year of the Obama administration trying in vain to jump-start peace talks, a quixotic effort that even his own negotiators knew would not succeed. Is that the benchmark against which Trump is to be judged? If so, he will end up failing a lot more cheaply.
Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 6:57 pm The beef between Turkey and the Kurds is none of our business. Those people have been killing each other for centuries, and getting in the middle of that is a certain recipe for disaster.
I did not and do not know that. Trump doesn’t tweet for his own consumption. When the President tweets about you, one is going to hear about it. I only remember her speaking about the torment in the past tense, and in plural “days.”As for "witness intimidation", did you know that the witness would never have known about the "mean tweet" during her testimony if Schiff hadn't read it to her.
Simonjester wrote: i agree we should help them ..but..
there is more than one way to support the kurds. Boots on the ground may be the go to solution for those with a vested interest in the perma-war state, just not necessarily the best solution for Americans or the Kurds.
I believe that there was a break shortly after Schiff had read it to her. It's a near certainty even if Schiff had not read it to her, she would have been told about it by someone(s) during that break.Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 6:57 pmThe beef between Turkey and the Kurds is none of our business. Those people have been killing each other for centuries, and getting in the middle of that is a certain recipe for disaster.dualstow wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 4:43 pmTech, maybe six months ago, you asked what specifically I didn’t like about Trump’s actions or policies (not words), and I’ve certainly been taking my time to supply more than a few. There are some that actions and policies i like.
But, it’s time to add two more glaring problems to the list:
ALLOWING TURKEY TO MASSACRE KURDS // if I didn’t mention it before
WITNESS INTIMIDATION. // fairly fresh, of course
*Never mind the moon quote. I just wanted a quote in your notifications.
As for "witness intimidation", did you know that the witness would never have known about the "mean tweet" during her testimony if Schiff hadn't read it to her.
Also, the definition of "witness intimidation" doesn't cover this situation anyway: "Witness intimidation means the threatening of a crucial court witnesses by pressure or extortion to compel him/her to not to testify." (https://definitions.uslegal.com/w/witness-intimidation/)
There was no threat and she was not a "crucial witness", since she witnessed nothing.
Of course I know why you are grasping at straws. You don't have anything.
We helped the Hmong permanently settle in the States. Are you thinking something along those lines? If not, then——?Simonjester wrote: i agree we should help them ..but..
there is more than one way to support the kurds. Boots on the ground may be the go to solution for those with a vested interest in the perma-war state, just not necessarily the best solution for Americans or the Kurds.
Simonjester wrote:
i hadn't considered resettling but ..sure... its one tool in the list of a bunch that could be used, humanitarian aid, (food, water, medical care) international sanctions against the aggressors, no fly zones, provide military Intel, training, weapons/ammunition. and undoubtedly others that i haven't heard mentioned or suggested yet.. ...mix and match.... use what makes the best strategic and diplomatic sense based on an accurate understanding of the immediate situation, and the big picture..
Why does everyone think that migrating a group like the Hmong or the Kurds (or Syrians or Guatemalans for that matter) to the US is a good thing? It is a surefire way to wipe out a culture permanently, which I don't view as a good thing. Neither is uprooting an entire population from the land they've lived in for centuries. There are so many negatives to this I don't even know where to begin.dualstow wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 10:48 pmWe helped the Hmong permanently settle in the States. Are you thinking something along those lines? If not, then——?Simonjester wrote: i agree we should help them ..but..
there is more than one way to support the kurds. Boots on the ground may be the go to solution for those with a vested interest in the perma-war state, just not necessarily the best solution for Americans or the Kurds.
From the Kurdish point of view, it must look strange. We’re fine making war with ISIS and the reward the Kurds get for fighting on our side is: we are a peace-loving nation and have decided to stop fighting at this time. You’re on your own with the Kurds.
Or, maybe Trump has a thing for dictators and strongmen. There are things I like about the Trump administrations’ actions and by tech’s own definition of TDS, that disqualifies me. Putin, Kim, Duterte, Bolsonaro, and Erdogan. He loves the despots.
I hope we get something out of this move.
Who is NOT biased?Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 8:41 pmTDS will make you see things that aren't there.yankees60 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 8:35 pmI believe that there was a break shortly after Schiff had read it to her. It's a near certainty even if Schiff had not read it to her, she would have been told about it by someone(s) during that break.Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 6:57 pmThe beef between Turkey and the Kurds is none of our business. Those people have been killing each other for centuries, and getting in the middle of that is a certain recipe for disaster.dualstow wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 4:43 pmTech, maybe six months ago, you asked what specifically I didn’t like about Trump’s actions or policies (not words), and I’ve certainly been taking my time to supply more than a few. There are some that actions and policies i like.
But, it’s time to add two more glaring problems to the list:
ALLOWING TURKEY TO MASSACRE KURDS // if I didn’t mention it before
WITNESS INTIMIDATION. // fairly fresh, of course
*Never mind the moon quote. I just wanted a quote in your notifications.
As for "witness intimidation", did you know that the witness would never have known about the "mean tweet" during her testimony if Schiff hadn't read it to her.
Also, the definition of "witness intimidation" doesn't cover this situation anyway: "Witness intimidation means the threatening of a crucial court witnesses by pressure or extortion to compel him/her to not to testify." (https://definitions.uslegal.com/w/witness-intimidation/)
There was no threat and she was not a "crucial witness", since she witnessed nothing.
Of course I know why you are grasping at straws. You don't have anything.
And, it comes down to how one interprets both "pressure" and "crucial witness". It's clear how you are interpreting both of them but that does not make either interpretation definitive.
Vinny
I'm not going to read your posts on political topics anymore, as they contain nothing but your completely biased opinions.
Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 18, 2019 7:47 am
dualstow wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 10:48 pm
Simonjester wrote:
i agree we should help them ..but..
there is more than one way to support the kurds. Boots on the ground may be the go to solution for those with a vested interest in the perma-war state, just not necessarily the best solution for Americans or the Kurds.
We helped the Hmong permanently settle in the States. Are you thinking something along those lines? If not, then——?
From the Kurdish point of view, it must look strange. We’re fine making war with ISIS and the reward the Kurds get for fighting on our side is: we are a peace-loving nation and have decided to stop fighting at this time. You’re on your own with the Kurds.
Or, maybe Trump has a thing for dictators and strongmen. There are things I like about the Trump administrations’ actions and by tech’s own definition of TDS, that disqualifies me. Putin, Kim, Duterte, Bolsonaro, and Erdogan. He loves the despots.
I hope we get something out of this move.
Note: I'm not a psychiatrist, so this is not medical advice.
There are different stages of TDS. We are still in the early days of research on this plague affecting society, but here's a rough guideline for diagnosing a patient:
Stage 1: Thinks Trump is bad and Trump supporters are deluded but not necessarily evil. Has absorbed some but not all of the propaganda about Trump's being racist, liking dictators, and the like. If shown some achievement that the patient would agree with if it were the work of someone other than Trump, e.g., VA reform, tax reform, or prison reform such as the First Step Act, agrees that it is a good achievement. The patient will improve his opinion of Trump slightly after this.
Stage 2: Knows Trump is evil and a threat to society, but probably not as bad as Hitler, whereas Trump supporters are dumb hicks like on Hee-Haw. Spouts some Democrat talking points easily but doesn't have all the current ones memorized. If shown an achievement as above, denigrates it as being not of any importance, or says Obama is responsible for it.
Stage 3: Trump is not only evil, but as bad as Hitler, and his supporters are Nazi sympathizers. Knows all of the current talking points and will bring them up on any topic that is even tangentially related to politics. If shown an achievement as above, says it is positively horrific even though the patient would have thought it was wonderful if someone else had done it.
Stage 4: Trump is worse than Hitler, Stalin, and Mussolini combined, and his supporters are a combination of Nazis and KKK members. Keeps up with intraday changes to talking points and cannot discuss any topic without bringing up Trump and blaming him. Trump has turned the US into a dystopian horror for which the only possible remedy is the extermination of him and his followers.
Hope that helps.
The relevance of her testimony is her removal. Yes, all ambassadors "serve at the pleasure of the president". But was her removal part something larger? What was the reason such a long-term ambassador was removed?Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 18, 2019 10:48 amDershowitz has a similar analysis and of course he is a Democrat, like Turley. Both of them are pretty good in actually analyzing the law rather than just going along with the Democrat talking points, which is why neither of them is very popular with most Democrats.yankees60 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 18, 2019 9:41 amWho is NOT biased?Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 8:41 pmTDS will make you see things that aren't there.yankees60 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 8:35 pmI believe that there was a break shortly after Schiff had read it to her. It's a near certainty even if Schiff had not read it to her, she would have been told about it by someone(s) during that break.Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 6:57 pmThe beef between Turkey and the Kurds is none of our business. Those people have been killing each other for centuries, and getting in the middle of that is a certain recipe for disaster.dualstow wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 4:43 pmTech, maybe six months ago, you asked what specifically I didn’t like about Trump’s actions or policies (not words), and I’ve certainly been taking my time to supply more than a few. There are some that actions and policies i like.
But, it’s time to add two more glaring problems to the list:
ALLOWING TURKEY TO MASSACRE KURDS // if I didn’t mention it before
WITNESS INTIMIDATION. // fairly fresh, of course
*Never mind the moon quote. I just wanted a quote in your notifications.
As for "witness intimidation", did you know that the witness would never have known about the "mean tweet" during her testimony if Schiff hadn't read it to her.
Also, the definition of "witness intimidation" doesn't cover this situation anyway: "Witness intimidation means the threatening of a crucial court witnesses by pressure or extortion to compel him/her to not to testify." (https://definitions.uslegal.com/w/witness-intimidation/)
There was no threat and she was not a "crucial witness", since she witnessed nothing.
Of course I know why you are grasping at straws. You don't have anything.
And, it comes down to how one interprets both "pressure" and "crucial witness". It's clear how you are interpreting both of them but that does not make either interpretation definitive.
Vinny
I'm not going to read your posts on political topics anymore, as they contain nothing but your completely biased opinions.
However...….a short while ago on this morning's C-Span's Washington Journal I heard Jonathan Turley speak about the Impeachment Inquiry. He is a law professor at Georgetown. And, he seemed completely credible on many levels.
He caused me to now agree with you that it was NOT witness intimidation. He stated it did not fit the legal definition. That Trump had not engaged in an act using his official position. That because he is president does not mean he gives up his 1st Amendment rights.
On the other hand, that he tweeted what he did was the major event of the Friday hearings. It was a turning point in the Republicans questioning of the ambassador. That after the release of that tweet they pulled back considerably in the aggressiveness of their questions towards her.
Vinny
As for the Republicans' questioning of the ambassador, since she didn't actually witness anything I'm not sure how her testimony is relevant to anything anyway.
In a broader view, I think this whole "impeachment in search of a crime" is going to blow up in the Democrats' faces. The general public isn't onboard with it, which they would have to be for the Democrats to benefit politically, and it is solidifying the Republican base even more than it already has been.
Jokes aside, you should take a break from the spinning Dice once in a while and peek directly. I peek at Fox and OneAmericaNews once in a while, and I can't imaging having Jake Tapper or Chris Cuomo interpret it for me. (I actually don't watch that much cnn. Mostly cnbc). I listen to Mark Levin once in a while. Smart, but hateful.Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 18, 2019 10:42 amActually there's a well-known treatment for that: read the NYT or Washington Post, or watch MSNBC/CNN/ABC/NBC/CBS.
Fortunately I don't have to do that myself because I have Mark Dice and Mark Levin to do it for me!
+1WiseOne wrote: ↑Mon Nov 18, 2019 7:52 amWhy does everyone think that migrating a group like the Hmong or the Kurds (or Syrians or Guatemalans for that matter) to the US is a good thing? It is a surefire way to wipe out a culture permanently, which I don't view as a good thing. Neither is uprooting an entire population from the land they've lived in for centuries. There are so many negatives to this I don't even know where to begin.dualstow wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 10:48 pmWe helped the Hmong permanently settle in the States. Are you thinking something along those lines? If not, then——?Simonjester wrote: i agree we should help them ..but..
there is more than one way to support the kurds. Boots on the ground may be the go to solution for those with a vested interest in the perma-war state, just not necessarily the best solution for Americans or the Kurds.
From the Kurdish point of view, it must look strange. We’re fine making war with ISIS and the reward the Kurds get for fighting on our side is: we are a peace-loving nation and have decided to stop fighting at this time. You’re on your own with the Kurds.
Most Filipinos I know, and I'm married to one of them, would not appreciate seeing Duterte lumped in with that group of despots. To them, he is the Donald Trump of the Philippines.
Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 18, 2019 10:49 am
yankees60 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 18, 2019 9:44 am
Libertarian666 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 18, 2019 7:47 am
dualstow wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 10:48 pm
Simonjester wrote:
i agree we should help them ..but..
there is more than one way to support the kurds. Boots on the ground may be the go to solution for those with a vested interest in the perma-war state, just not necessarily the best solution for Americans or the Kurds.
We helped the Hmong permanently settle in the States. Are you thinking something along those lines? If not, then——?
From the Kurdish point of view, it must look strange. We’re fine making war with ISIS and the reward the Kurds get for fighting on our side is: we are a peace-loving nation and have decided to stop fighting at this time. You’re on your own with the Kurds.
Or, maybe Trump has a thing for dictators and strongmen. There are things I like about the Trump administrations’ actions and by tech’s own definition of TDS, that disqualifies me. Putin, Kim, Duterte, Bolsonaro, and Erdogan. He loves the despots.
I hope we get something out of this move.
Note: I'm not a psychiatrist, so this is not medical advice.
There are different stages of TDS. We are still in the early days of research on this plague affecting society, but here's a rough guideline for diagnosing a patient:
Stage 1: Thinks Trump is bad and Trump supporters are deluded but not necessarily evil. Has absorbed some but not all of the propaganda about Trump's being racist, liking dictators, and the like. If shown some achievement that the patient would agree with if it were the work of someone other than Trump, e.g., VA reform, tax reform, or prison reform such as the First Step Act, agrees that it is a good achievement. The patient will improve his opinion of Trump slightly after this.
Stage 2: Knows Trump is evil and a threat to society, but probably not as bad as Hitler, whereas Trump supporters are dumb hicks like on Hee-Haw. Spouts some Democrat talking points easily but doesn't have all the current ones memorized. If shown an achievement as above, denigrates it as being not of any importance, or says Obama is responsible for it.
Stage 3: Trump is not only evil, but as bad as Hitler, and his supporters are Nazi sympathizers. Knows all of the current talking points and will bring them up on any topic that is even tangentially related to politics. If shown an achievement as above, says it is positively horrific even though the patient would have thought it was wonderful if someone else had done it.
Stage 4: Trump is worse than Hitler, Stalin, and Mussolini combined, and his supporters are a combination of Nazis and KKK members. Keeps up with intraday changes to talking points and cannot discuss any topic without bringing up Trump and blaming him. Trump has turned the US into a dystopian horror for which the only possible remedy is the extermination of him and his followers.
Hope that helps.
Was ALL of this YOUR original writings? If so then if I was a political science professor and you were my student, I'd have to give you a grade of no less than A+.
Vinny
Yes, that was all my original writing. Thanks!
Yes, I'm sure that my being against uprooting an entire population and transplanting them to the US would have me labeled as a "racist" in a heartbeat. It's ridiculous how that narrative is trotted out for just about everything immigration-related.Kriegsspiel wrote: ↑Mon Nov 18, 2019 4:50 pm+1WiseOne wrote: ↑Mon Nov 18, 2019 7:52 amWhy does everyone think that migrating a group like the Hmong or the Kurds (or Syrians or Guatemalans for that matter) to the US is a good thing? It is a surefire way to wipe out a culture permanently, which I don't view as a good thing. Neither is uprooting an entire population from the land they've lived in for centuries. There are so many negatives to this I don't even know where to begin.dualstow wrote: ↑Sun Nov 17, 2019 10:48 pmWe helped the Hmong permanently settle in the States. Are you thinking something along those lines? If not, then——?Simonjester wrote: i agree we should help them ..but..
there is more than one way to support the kurds. Boots on the ground may be the go to solution for those with a vested interest in the perma-war state, just not necessarily the best solution for Americans or the Kurds.
From the Kurdish point of view, it must look strange. We’re fine making war with ISIS and the reward the Kurds get for fighting on our side is: we are a peace-loving nation and have decided to stop fighting at this time. You’re on your own with the Kurds.
That said, I don't think I've met a Kurd that I didn't like. There's just something about the idea of inviting over large populations of foreigners to live in our country that makes me grok wrongness.
Seriously? No offense to the wife or any of his supporters, but his policy of open season on suspected drug dealers means that people are murdering their rivals in the streets, whether or not they are actual drug dealers. In the meantime, his son is dealing drugs. For many reasons, Duterte is the definition of a despot.