GTU Vastly Underperforming IAU and GLD

Discussion of the Gold portion of the Permanent Portfolio

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Ad Orientem
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Re: GTU Vastly Underperforming IAU and GLD

Post by Ad Orientem »

Pointedstick wrote:
Reub wrote: GTU once again .4% lower than GLD and IAU on an up day! How is this regular underperformance explained again?
Day-to-day fluctuations are just noise.
Fair enough. But a 40%, or even 10% deviation over a 4-6 year period is not noise. Sorry I stand by my long held position. Closed ended funds don't belong in a PP, though they may be fine for speculative purposes.
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blueskieslover
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Re: GTU Vastly Underperforming IAU and GLD

Post by blueskieslover »

I think its important to look at start dates.

http://imgur.com/a/UTb83

When we look at the first image, we see that morningstar atleast is showing the NAV from only 2006 even though the fund launched in 2003. Maybe someone can shed some light on this?

If we look at the second picture we see that the from the day we morningstar is tracking NAV and compare that to IAU, the lines are practically on top of one another, showing very little difference. I interpret this as investors paying a different price and factoring all the premium / discounts for the CEF, that GTU is doing what it is suppose to. The NAV is tracking gold, however the price per share is not tracking gold... yet. In time will this change? I have no clue. That being said there certainly is a way to profit off of this, buy GTU when gold is down and buy cheap, and buy IAU when gold is going up. You gain the best of both worlds.

I currently hold both IAU, and GTU. In the future i'll look to hold physical bullion to mitigate these risks.
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