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What will the Supreme Court do with the Texas case?
Posted: Thu Dec 10, 2020 11:39 pm
by Libertarian666
This question should be pretty relevant right now.
Re: What will the Supreme Court do with the Texas case?
Posted: Fri Dec 11, 2020 8:39 am
by Cortopassi
tech, I will give you guys one thing, you are doing a damn good job of at least keeping me on edge biting my nails thinking OMG, is this really going to happen, are they really going to do this?
And let's play a game, if it does happen, what do you think will happen after? Let's see how many of these state vs. state lawsuits democrat run states can think up against the others for perceived injustices or whatever the term is.
Then we'll get to hear you talk about states rights again I bet.
Re: What will the Supreme Court do with the Texas case?
Posted: Fri Dec 11, 2020 9:00 am
by Cortopassi
You've got a aptitude for math, tech. Can you explain the math here from the Texas filing?
------------------------
The probability of former Vice President
Biden winning the popular vote in the four Defendant
States—Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and
Wisconsin—independently given President Trump’s
early lead in those States as of 3 a.m. on November 4,
2020, is less than one in a quadrillion, or 1 in
1,000,000,000,000,000. For former Vice President
Biden to win these four States collectively, the odds of
that event happening decrease to less than one in a
quadrillion to the fourth power (i.e., 1 in
1,000,000,000,000,0004). See Decl. of Charles J.
Cicchetti, Ph.D. (“Cicchetti Decl.”) at ¶¶ 14-21, 30-31.
See App. 4a-7a, 9a.
Re: What will the Supreme Court do with the Texas case?
Posted: Fri Dec 11, 2020 5:31 pm
by D1984
Cortopassi wrote: ↑Fri Dec 11, 2020 9:00 am
You've got a aptitude for math, tech. Can you explain the math here from the Texas filing?
------------------------
The probability of former Vice President
Biden winning the popular vote in the four Defendant
States—Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and
Wisconsin—independently given President Trump’s
early lead in those States as of 3 a.m. on November 4,
2020, is less than one in a quadrillion, or 1 in
1,000,000,000,000,000. For former Vice President
Biden to win these four States collectively, the odds of
that event happening decrease to less than one in a
quadrillion to the fourth power (i.e., 1 in
1,000,000,000,000,0004). See Decl. of Charles J.
Cicchetti, Ph.D. (“Cicchetti Decl.”) at ¶¶ 14-21, 30-31.
See App. 4a-7a, 9a.
See
https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2 ... -michigan/
A nice case of GIGO if ever there was one...when you start from wrong assumptions you shouldn't be surprised when you get a wildly wrong answer.
Re: What will the Supreme Court do with the Texas case?
Posted: Fri Dec 11, 2020 5:56 pm
by SomeDude
Cortopassi wrote: ↑Fri Dec 11, 2020 9:00 am
You've got a aptitude for math, tech. Can you explain the math here from the Texas filing?
------------------------
The probability of former Vice President
Biden winning the popular vote in the four Defendant
States—Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and
Wisconsin—independently given President Trump’s
early lead in those States as of 3 a.m. on November 4,
2020, is less than one in a quadrillion, or 1 in
1,000,000,000,000,000. For former Vice President
Biden to win these four States collectively, the odds of
that event happening decrease to less than one in a
quadrillion to the fourth power (i.e., 1 in
1,000,000,000,000,0004). See Decl. of Charles J.
Cicchetti, Ph.D. (“Cicchetti Decl.”) at ¶¶ 14-21, 30-31.
See App. 4a-7a, 9a.
I'm not sure how they reached these numbers but here's a logical way to measure it. Say you've got 1 million votes in and its 510k for Trump and 490k for Biden. Then after election day you "find" 21k more votes and they're all for Biden. So in the end its 511k for Biden and 510k for Trump. Nothing suspicious about the final numbers.....
However, the chance that the first million were 51-49 Trump and the last 20k were all Biden (or statistically significantly different) is statistically impossible. The probability is measurable and i bet very simple for a statistician.
The "fact" that it happened in multiple places makes it more impossible (if something can be less possible than impossible).
If you believe the impossible happened you have something wrong with your brain or your heart.
This also applies to blacks in inner cities voting are certain percentage and turnout a certain way in thousands of urban centers then mysteriously being completely different in a few cites.
Again, probably very simple to measure and slam dunk proof of fraud unless a person doesn't understand the concept of statistical probability (or is a dem).
Re: What will the Supreme Court do with the Texas case?
Posted: Fri Dec 11, 2020 6:22 pm
by doodle
SomeDude wrote: ↑Fri Dec 11, 2020 5:56 pm
Cortopassi wrote: ↑Fri Dec 11, 2020 9:00 am
You've got a aptitude for math, tech. Can you explain the math here from the Texas filing?
------------------------
The probability of former Vice President
Biden winning the popular vote in the four Defendant
States—Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and
Wisconsin—independently given President Trump’s
early lead in those States as of 3 a.m. on November 4,
2020, is less than one in a quadrillion, or 1 in
1,000,000,000,000,000. For former Vice President
Biden to win these four States collectively, the odds of
that event happening decrease to less than one in a
quadrillion to the fourth power (i.e., 1 in
1,000,000,000,000,0004). See Decl. of Charles J.
Cicchetti, Ph.D. (“Cicchetti Decl.”) at ¶¶ 14-21, 30-31.
See App. 4a-7a, 9a.
I'm not sure how they reached these numbers but here's a logical way to measure it. Say you've got 1 million votes in and its 510k for Trump and 490k for Biden. Then after election day you "find" 21k more votes and they're all for Biden. So in the end its 511k for Biden and 510k for Trump. Nothing suspicious about the final numbers.....
However, the chance that the first million were 51-49 Trump and the last 20k were all Biden (or statistically significantly different) is statistically impossible. The probability is measurable and i bet very simple for a statistician.
The "fact" that it happened in multiple places makes it more impossible (if something can be less possible than impossible).
If you believe the impossible happened you have something wrong with your brain or your heart.
This also applies to blacks in inner cities voting are certain percentage and turnout a certain way in thousands of urban centers then mysteriously being completely different in a few cites.
Again, probably very simple to measure and slam dunk proof of fraud unless a person doesn't understand the concept of statistical probability (or is a dem).
All of this coming from the statistical genius whose analysis put Biden at a less than 2% chance. So far absolutely nothing you have said or proclaimed as 'fact' has panned out in the least A normal person would go back to the drawing board and reevaluate at that point, but you just keep plunging deeper into the rabbit hole. Why should anyone take what you say seriously anymore?
Re: What will the Supreme Court do with the Texas case?
Posted: Fri Dec 11, 2020 8:56 pm
by SomeDude
SomeDude wrote: ↑Fri Dec 11, 2020 5:56 pm
Cortopassi wrote: ↑Fri Dec 11, 2020 9:00 am
You've got a aptitude for math, tech. Can you explain the math here from the Texas filing?
------------------------
The probability of former Vice President
Biden winning the popular vote in the four Defendant
States—Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and
Wisconsin—independently given President Trump’s
early lead in those States as of 3 a.m. on November 4,
2020, is less than one in a quadrillion, or 1 in
1,000,000,000,000,000. For former Vice President
Biden to win these four States collectively, the odds of
that event happening decrease to less than one in a
quadrillion to the fourth power (i.e., 1 in
1,000,000,000,000,0004). See Decl. of Charles J.
Cicchetti, Ph.D. (“Cicchetti Decl.”) at ¶¶ 14-21, 30-31.
See App. 4a-7a, 9a.
I'm not sure how they reached these numbers but here's a logical way to measure it. Say you've got 1 million votes in and its 510k for Trump and 490k for Biden. Then after election day you "find" 21k more votes and they're all for Biden. So in the end its 511k for Biden and 510k for Trump. Nothing suspicious about the final numbers.....
However, the chance that the first million were 51-49 Trump and the last 20k were all Biden (or statistically significantly different) is statistically impossible. The probability is measurable and i bet very simple for a statistician.
The "fact" that it happened in multiple places makes it more impossible (if something can be less possible than impossible).
If you believe the impossible happened you have something wrong with your brain or your heart.
This also applies to blacks in inner cities voting a certain percentage and turnout a certain way in thousands of urban centers then mysteriously being completely different in a few cites.
Again, probably very simple to measure and slam dunk proof of fraud unless a person doesn't understand the concept of statistical probability (or is a dem).
Re: What will the Supreme Court do with the Texas case?
Posted: Fri Dec 11, 2020 10:28 pm
by doodle
Again, probably very simple to measure and slam dunk proof of fraud unless a person doesn't understand the concept of statistical probability (or is a dem).
Apparently you don't.... Improbable happens all the time.
Of course the numbers you cite are utter bullshit
Re: What will the Supreme Court do with the Texas case?
Posted: Fri Dec 11, 2020 11:15 pm
by Mark Leavy
Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. Three times is enemy action.
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