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19 hours??!!!
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2021 9:00 pm
by yankees60
More from the "Preventable" book...
"Adamson recognized that the mathematicians were doing the best they could with the tools they had. Legitimate dynamic transmission models—models that allow you to simulate what happens as variables such as human behavior change—normally take years to build, and once you have them, it takes days to run each simulation. Even the CDC’s flu-based model required 19 hours to run a single simulation. Adamson knew that even if a model could spit out the right answer, it would need to run fast or else it would never be used."
19 hours??!!!
I assume that these are being done on computers that have 100 (1,000??!!) times the power that this computer I am using??!!
Do any of you do any such simulations which takes so long on a computer??
Re: 19 hours??!!!
Posted: Wed Jun 30, 2021 3:42 am
by Mountaineer
yankees60 wrote: ↑Tue Jun 29, 2021 9:00 pm
More from the "Preventable" book...
"Adamson recognized that the mathematicians were doing the best they could with the tools they had. Legitimate dynamic transmission models—models that allow you to simulate what happens as variables such as human behavior change—normally take years to build, and once you have them, it takes days to run each simulation. Even the CDC’s flu-based model required 19 hours to run a single simulation. Adamson knew that even if a model could spit out the right answer, it would need to run fast or else it would never be used."
19 hours??!!!
I assume that these are being done on computers that have 100 (1,000??!!) times the power that this computer I am using??!!
Do any of you do any such simulations which takes so long on a computer??
Somewhat a diversion from your question, but you might enjoy the book "Origin" by Dan Brown if you haven't read it. Discuses the uses of a quite advanced supercomputer.
Re: 19 hours??!!!
Posted: Wed Jun 30, 2021 7:30 am
by yankees60
Mountaineer wrote: ↑Wed Jun 30, 2021 3:42 am
yankees60 wrote: ↑Tue Jun 29, 2021 9:00 pm
More from the "Preventable" book...
"Adamson recognized that the mathematicians were doing the best they could with the tools they had. Legitimate dynamic transmission models—models that allow you to simulate what happens as variables such as human behavior change—normally take years to build, and once you have them, it takes days to run each simulation. Even the CDC’s flu-based model required 19 hours to run a single simulation. Adamson knew that even if a model could spit out the right answer, it would need to run fast or else it would never be used."
19 hours??!!!
I assume that these are being done on computers that have 100 (1,000??!!) times the power that this computer I am using??!!
Do any of you do any such simulations which takes so long on a computer??
Somewhat a diversion from your question, but you might enjoy the book "Origin" by Dan Brown if you haven't read it. Discuses the uses of a quite advanced supercomputer.
Thanks.
But somehow I do not believe this is it?
https://www.amazon.com/Origin/dp/178763 ... l_huc_item
Re: 19 hours??!!!
Posted: Wed Jun 30, 2021 4:45 pm
by pp4me
If the universe is a simulation as some people believe then this iteration has required 14 billion years to get where it is now.
Re: 19 hours??!!!
Posted: Wed Jun 30, 2021 4:52 pm
by Xan
pp4me wrote: ↑Wed Jun 30, 2021 4:45 pm
If the universe is a simulation as some people believe then this iteration has required 14 billion years to get where it is now.
14 billion years inside the simulation. Who knows how long it's taken outside.
Re: 19 hours??!!!
Posted: Wed Jun 30, 2021 5:02 pm
by Mountaineer
Xan wrote: ↑Wed Jun 30, 2021 4:52 pm
pp4me wrote: ↑Wed Jun 30, 2021 4:45 pm
If the universe is a simulation as some people believe then this iteration has required 14 billion years to get where it is now.
14 billion years inside the simulation. Who knows how long it's taken outside.
