Page 1 of 1

Gold Top

Posted: Thu Feb 19, 2026 9:14 am
by Jack Jones
In the 1974 You Can Profit From A Monetary Crisis, the man who taught you not to trust prognosticators, predicted (gold was around $100):
Harry Browne wrote:There's really no way to determine the upside potential of gold, but a conservative estimate would be $300-$500 per ounce within five years - and possibly even within a year. It wouldn't shock me if it reached $1,000 per ounce within five years - even without runaway inflation.
It had recently gone up 3x, but Harry predicted it had another 3-5x to go. It topped out around $670 six years later.

We sit at $5000, which is about a 1-2x run up. How much more runway do we have?

Re: Gold Top

Posted: Thu Feb 19, 2026 8:27 pm
by Smith1776
I voted for $50,000.

If there was a $100,000 option, I would have voted for that. ^-^

Re: Gold Top

Posted: Thu Feb 19, 2026 9:40 pm
by Xan
It's not terribly meaningful to ask for a prediction of the top without giving either a timeframe or a definition of how much lower it must go than its record for that record to be considered a top.

Re: Gold Top

Posted: Thu Feb 19, 2026 10:05 pm
by yankees60
Jack Jones wrote: Thu Feb 19, 2026 9:14 am In the 1974 You Can Profit From A Monetary Crisis, the man who taught you not to trust prognosticators, predicted (gold was around $100):
Harry Browne wrote:There's really no way to determine the upside potential of gold, but a conservative estimate would be $300-$500 per ounce within five years - and possibly even within a year. It wouldn't shock me if it reached $1,000 per ounce within five years - even without runaway inflation.
It had recently gone up 3x, but Harry predicted it had another 3-5x to go. It topped out around $670 six years later.

We sit at $5000, which is about a 1-2x run up. How much more runway do we have?
I had that book.