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What happened in 1994 when all 4 components of PP went negative?

Posted: Tue Aug 18, 2015 5:20 am
by helpme
https://web.archive.org/web/20160324133 ... l-returns/

Look at the year 1994. What happened? Shouldn't the components move in different directions for diversification to work? And how can cash have negative returns?

Re: What happened in 1994 when all 4 components of PP went negative?

Posted: Tue Aug 18, 2015 6:51 am
by dutchtraffic
helpme wrote: https://web.archive.org/web/20160324133 ... l-returns/

Look at the year 1994. What happened? Shouldn't the components move in different directions for diversification to work? And how can cash have negative returns?
When the system is shaking (like now), combined with CBs paper-slamming gold down, everything will go down.

All components can go down together for the next 50 years, why not? We just made this shit up, there is no law of nature that says they must move in opposite directions.

Re: What happened in 1994 when all 4 components of PP went negative?

Posted: Tue Aug 18, 2015 6:59 am
by ochotona
dutchtraffic wrote: We just made this **** up, there is no law of nature that says they must move in opposite directions.
That's the truth.

Re: What happened in 1994 when all 4 components of PP went negative?

Posted: Fri Oct 02, 2015 12:56 am
by MachineGhost
helpme wrote: https://web.archive.org/web/20160324133 ... l-returns/

Look at the year 1994. What happened? Shouldn't the components move in different directions for diversification to work? And how can cash have negative returns?
Fed raised rates in 1994 and caused a Bond Market Panic.  Orange County also filed for bankruptcy subsequently.  So it wsa a tight money scenario like 1981 and this year.

Re: What happened in 1994 when all 4 components of PP went negative?

Posted: Fri Oct 02, 2015 3:23 am
by mathjak107
1994 was the only year since the 1980's that when the fed raised interst rates more than 1% intermediate term bonds had a loss .

Re: What happened in 1994 when all 4 components of PP went negative?

Posted: Fri Oct 02, 2015 4:34 pm
by Reub
How is this year a tight money scenario with rates still at zero?

Re: What happened in 1994 when all 4 components of PP went negative?

Posted: Fri Oct 02, 2015 5:01 pm
by mathjak107
it isn't  just the opposite in fact .

Re: What happened in 1994 when all 4 components of PP went negative?

Posted: Fri Oct 02, 2015 7:28 pm
by MachineGhost
Expectations.

We're in a year like 1994, 1981 and 1969.