Search found 437 matches

by LC475
Tue Jun 03, 2025 6:04 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP YTD performance - was it the worst ever?
Replies: 124
Views: 82089

Re: PP YTD performance - was it the worst ever?

Nominal drawdowns are misleading. Adjusting for inflation and relative to the end of 2020 the PP as of end of August 2022 was down deeper than -20% real (after inflation). And of course deeper if you're also drawing a income. British PP, yearly granularity of drawdowns https://i.postimg.cc/63xSHh35...
by LC475
Tue Jun 03, 2025 5:55 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ⌛ Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? ⚡ Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?
Replies: 17
Views: 7116

Re: ⌛ Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? ⚡ Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?

Also, when it comes to the topic of something coming along and replacing Bitcoin, the proposition seems unlikely. You can see the beginning's of Bitcoin's position being set in stone already. This is the more important and broader thing to reply to. I personally can envision Bitcoin losing #1 statu...
by LC475
Tue Jun 03, 2025 5:03 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ⌛ Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? ⚡ Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?
Replies: 17
Views: 7116

Re: ⌛ Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? ⚡ Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?

As of 2025, Bitcoin is the only crypto that is officially deemed to be a commodity by the SEC. Why? Because it's the only crypto asset that has no issuer. Not quite. There are other zero-premine blockchains. Not many, it is true. But a few. Dogecoin for one example, interestingly enough. Also Litec...
by LC475
Sat May 17, 2025 11:44 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 86313

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

boglerdude wrote: Fri May 16, 2025 11:02 pm outside the US people are paying their plumber and barber in bitcoin? with what apps.

Waiting for a dip in bitcoin but as 2020 demonstrated there might not be another dip. Printer turns right on
lightning apps such as Blink. Also Bluewallet and Phoenix.
by LC475
Fri May 16, 2025 4:37 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Everything costs too much and everybody is wrong about it and who the hell knows how to fix it?
Replies: 129
Views: 80751

Re: Everything costs too much and everybody is wrong about it and who the hell knows how to fix it?

I already answered. Read again. How about *you* stick *your* neck out and make a claim, and then maybe I'll think about "backing up" some of mine. Maybe. Claim: Somebody needs a nap. :) I generally just ignore all these meaningless posts, being above them. But since several of you -- incl...
by LC475
Fri May 16, 2025 4:09 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 86313

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

Friendly of you to ask. I still invest with the traditional Permanent Portfolio: 4x25. Bitcoin proves that a group of friends can get together and decide "we're going to use this as money," and even if the thing they choose seems to have no real value -- is hashes to nothing -- if they are...
by LC475
Tue May 06, 2025 6:17 pm
Forum: Gold
Topic: Gold is not an investment
Replies: 46
Views: 18156

Re: Gold is not an investment

Gold is so, so nice.
by LC475
Tue May 06, 2025 6:06 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 86313

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

As a perhaps-humorous note, perhaps giving some insight into me: I currently live in Bitcoin City, El Salvador.

And I still have the essentially same view of Bitcoin as I did when participating in this thread.

Though I do wish I had bought a whole bunch back then! :D
by LC475
Tue May 06, 2025 5:50 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: PP in a Great Depression Scenario
Replies: 36
Views: 17631

Re: PP in a Great Depression Scenario

Hey all, I am back, returning triumphantly, and hopefully with drier Cheerios (less pissy) than before. I can see that I was not properly confirming to the friendly and non-confrontational vibe we want here, and I apologize for that. Okay, let me try to express the point we're trying to make in a cl...
by LC475
Fri Jul 21, 2017 1:06 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 86313

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

I believe that bitcoininthevp is here with an open mind and wishes to interact with a community of posters with broad-ranging views. I never said he wasn't! Please stop the condescending schtick, LC475, or you will be banned. This is your last warning. You can start by deleting the last post. I thi...
by LC475
Fri Jul 21, 2017 10:17 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 86313

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

I don't know how to delete a post.
by LC475
Thu Jul 20, 2017 10:06 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: All America Bank 1.5%
Replies: 57
Views: 65868

Re: All America Bank 1.5%

You may be right, or you may be wrong. When it comes to end-of-republic promises, I won't put much value in FDIC or treasury promises. The most likely scenario would be inflating away the obligations, in which case both would suffer more or less equally. OK, let's break this down. There is a scenar...
by LC475
Thu Jul 20, 2017 9:33 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: All America Bank 1.5%
Replies: 57
Views: 65868

Re: All America Bank 1.5%

It would be fatal to their ability to borrow money at reasonable rates if the gov't decided to default on Treasury Notes. Would it really, though? How much of the purchases of gov't debt is from our central bank, or foreign central banks (with printed dollars) vs those who can't conjure money out o...
by LC475
Wed Jul 19, 2017 2:49 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 600 Members Coming Up
Replies: 63
Views: 40153

Re: 600 Members Coming Up

Welcome, sweetbthescrivener. Now we have enough people to hold off the Persian army twice! 8)
by LC475
Wed Jul 19, 2017 11:39 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 86313

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

bitcoininthevp wrote:I believe future value of many (all?) of the ICOs (Initial Coin Offerings) and altcoins are likely to trend to zero.
Including Ethereum?

By the way, did you take the five minutes? ;)
by LC475
Tue Jul 18, 2017 11:43 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: All America Bank 1.5%
Replies: 57
Views: 65868

Re: All America Bank 1.5%

All America Bank Savings (Mega Money Market) acct is at 1.5%, max. $35,000. Thanks for posting, Allen! I am always skeptical of these high rates, though. Since free lunches are few and far between in this world of ours, something about giving me a higher-than-average rate makes a bank seem higher-t...
by LC475
Tue Jul 18, 2017 11:18 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 86313

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

You don't seem to know anything about the topic at hand yet are trying to seem like you do. Think me blustering if you wish! Don't worry -- it won't hurt my feelings. I think I have proven that I am willing to hear good points from all sides and respond thoughtfully. But your response is completely...
by LC475
Fri Jul 14, 2017 4:20 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 86313

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

Bitcoin's most impactful original idea was uncensorable money. Could you explain why you think Bitcoin is "uncensorable"? Perhaps I am just too imaginative, but it seems to me if I were in the government I could come up with a number of effective ways to "censor" it. I think the...
by LC475
Thu Jul 13, 2017 5:33 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 86313

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

bitcoininthevp wrote:Bitcoin's most impactful original idea was uncensorable money.
Could you explain why you think Bitcoin is "uncensorable"?

Perhaps I am just too imaginative, but it seems to me if I were in the government I could come up with a number of effective ways to "censor" it.
by LC475
Fri Jun 16, 2017 1:24 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 86313

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

Libertarian666 wrote:There is indeed something lastingly and sustainably decentralized.

You may have heard of it: it's called "the market".
Yes, I agree. I love the market!

Here, maybe this better explains the idea I'm trying to convey:

http://urbit.org/blog/dao/
by LC475
Wed Jun 07, 2017 1:28 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The political re-alignment of our time
Replies: 108
Views: 55183

Re: The political re-alignment of our time

Trump is definitely cunning, and his intuition is incredible. These are both "shoot from the hip" type traits, and Trump is nothing if not spontaneous in taking advantage of currents and forces that are just under the surface that nobody else notices, talks about, or knows what to do with...
by LC475
Wed Jun 07, 2017 1:13 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 86313

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

If your point is that everything starts out as an idea in some single individuals head (and then their code) and therefore it is centralized in the beginning, then its hard to disagree with that. I'm just unclear on the productivity of such a definition and it borders on a truism. No, my point is d...
by LC475
Wed Jun 07, 2017 1:05 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 86313

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

Machiavelli averred, and correctly I believe, that no new human institution can be created except under absolutist authority. (Discourses on Livy) Then how was government created? Well, it depends what you mean by government (which can mean many things involving "governance," including wh...
by LC475
Tue Jun 06, 2017 3:44 pm
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: The political re-alignment of our time
Replies: 108
Views: 55183

Re: The political re-alignment of our time

Trump himself has turned out to be much more incompetent and immature than I thought, and has been unable kick out the neocons and Heritage Foundation types. I think you are totally right (in a way), but do not know how right you are. This is the fundamental truth at the root of things: The Congres...