PP with SCV vs GB

A place to talk about speculative investing ideas for the optional Variable Portfolio

Moderator: Global Moderator

Post Reply
User avatar
seajay
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 599
Joined: Mon Aug 09, 2021 11:11 am

PP with SCV vs GB

Post by seajay »

User avatar
Hal
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 1401
Joined: Tue May 03, 2011 1:50 am

Re: PP with SCV vs GB

Post by Hal »

Yep ;)

If I had to choose, I would go with the SCV version over the GB.
Why?
If the bottom dropped out of the stock market, the most I could lose would be 25% vs 40%.
Harry suggested using the most volatile asset in each class if I remember correctly.

Good researching!
User avatar
seajay
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 599
Joined: Mon Aug 09, 2021 11:11 am

Re: PP with SCV vs GB

Post by seajay »

Hal wrote: Fri Feb 04, 2022 3:20 am Yep ;)

If I had to choose, I would go with the SCV version over the GB.
Why?
If the bottom dropped out of the stock market, the most I could lose would be 25% vs 40%.
Harry suggested using the most volatile asset in each class if I remember correctly.

Good researching!
I like you sig.

Looked up UK Vanguard Lifestrategy 40 (40/60 stock/bonds) data since 2012 and combining that 75/25 with gold and with a 4% SWR applied - at the end of 2021, ten years into retirement, that had over 90% of the inflation adjusted start date portfolio value still available. Pretty much paced higher inflation across 2021, so down from having had 95% available at the end of the 9th year.

Many count SWR as being for 30 year horizons, personally I think 25 is enough, sees a 65 year old through to age 90 at which point they're perhaps more inclined to sell up their home and use that to fund all-inclusive care/retirement home costs. On that basis having 90% left to fund a further 15 years looks on course to be a successful SWR outcome.

The simplicity of a single fund along with some physical gold is a neat way-to-go, especially for a less financially aware partner to potentially inherit.
User avatar
I Shrugged
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 2153
Joined: Tue Dec 18, 2012 6:35 pm

Re: PP with SCV vs GB

Post by I Shrugged »

But don't put the volatility cart before the horse.
Post Reply