Gyroscopic Investing

According to the WSJ: "Analysts at JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup share a price target of $3,000" an ounce in 2025. The reasons: lower interest rates, geopolitical uncertainty, central bank buying, little industrial demand, and momentum.

More details at https://www.wsj.com/finance/commodities ... s-4252d27e for those of you who subscribe.

Thank you!
So another 14-15%?

Gold increases to $3000
GDXJ and GDX decrease

I think it’s made a nice move. Would be very happy for it to stay right here for a year or more.

If it performs how it's done every day so for in 2025, wouldn't be a bad return
(IAU up 1.37% every trading day through 1/2/2025 )

(although what that would say about the rest of the economy in 2025, ugh)

I assume Gold ETF's price changes fairly much parallel the price of gold?

Which are your three top Gold ETFs today?

I, also, that the prices of gold mining stock do not parallel the price of gold? Anyone know the correlation of their prices to the prices of gold?

yankees60 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:10 pm I, also, that the prices of gold mining stock do not parallel the price of gold? Anyone know the correlation of their prices to the prices of gold?

Yes, note that GDX, which ocho mentioned, is miners.

Common sense says miners can have manager risk, windfalls after exploration, problems with illegal miners (as we have seen in recent articles) and so on.

Experience says: miners often move more dramatically than gold itself.

I’m never buying miners again. I don’t need the headache.

It’s black magic. Nobody knows.

dualstow wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:21 pm

yankees60 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2025 12:10 pm I, also, that the prices of gold mining stock do not parallel the price of gold? Anyone know the correlation of their prices to the prices of gold?

Yes, note that GDX, which ocho mentioned, is miners.

Common sense says miners can have manager risk, windfalls after exploration, problems with illegal miners (as we have seen in recent articles) and so on.

Experience says: miners often move more dramatically than gold itself.

I’m never buying miners again. I don’t need the headache.

I have probably owned less than 10 individual stocks in my life. Thinking about it more, possibly 15.

A few of them were gold mining stocks. For some reason I held on to one of them. I bought it in the early 2000s. Finally sold it a few weeks ago for a loss.

I look at ajpm dot com in the morning, and sometimes the spread is really tiny. Right now (7am EST), there’s like a US$15 difference between Bid and Ask. I guess I’ll buy some other day, then.

On the other hand, says that $15 is a normal spread during stable times. And, it turned me on to the Gold VIX (ticker ^GVZ), which I see is trending downward.

I’m sure GVZ has been mentioned, but it’s too small a search term.

Here are some things I have heard recently that sound relevant but are probably just random:

Mines risk of being nationalized
Increased input costs of mining
Bad management

What happens next. If the treasury issues only 1 month bonds and the Fed buys them at 0% what happens to the long end.

And say money supply increasing 10%/year. Private market will want 13% long bond rates.

Is the Fed required to buy my long bonds on the market before they can buy anything "directly" from the treasury?

boglerdude wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2025 10:22 pm fredgraph.pngWhat happens next. If the treasury issues only 1 month bonds and the Fed buys them at 0% what happens to the long end.

And say money supply increasing 10%/year. Private market will want 13% long bond rates.

Is the Fed required to buy my long bonds on the market before they can buy anything "directly" from the treasury?

Mmmm. Boglerdude been taken over by a bot? The message is kind of relevant but kind of not. Its a little vague. Just checking.

ppnewbie wrote: ↑Sun Jan 05, 2025 1:05 ameverything would feel different if gold was legal tender or there was something backed by gold. I think this would be a key step in restoring responsible behavior by banks

That's why it wont happen.

ps buy boglercoin

I expect gold to trade past $3k in 2025 unless there is a catalyst for great upheaval (World War III, global financial crisis, etc.).