Investing in Goldman Sachs

A place to talk about speculative investing ideas for the optional Variable Portfolio

Moderator: Global Moderator

Post Reply
TripleB
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 882
Joined: Sun Mar 27, 2011 1:28 am
Contact:

Investing in Goldman Sachs

Post by TripleB »

It could be really good PR, but it's starting to seem that Goldman Sachs rules the world. I'm willing to bet (literally) that they have control over political figures in both developed and emerging markets. Money = Control.

Assuming that GS execs have GS stock options, we can assume that if it's true GS rules the world, then GS stock must go up in the long run, well above the market.

Thoughts on investing in GS within the VP?
User avatar
stone
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 2627
Joined: Wed Apr 20, 2011 7:43 am
Contact:

Re: Investing in Goldman Sachs

Post by stone »

I guess the senior partners will just pay themselves all the loot they take. If any company management is up to the task of ensuring that no profits find their way to shareholders it surely has to be the Goldman Sachs management. Remember Warren Buffet did not buy any ordinary stock in Goldman Sachs. He bought individually negotiated prefered stock that paid some fixed crazy high dividend.
"Good judgment comes from experience. Experience comes from bad judgment." - Mulla Nasrudin
Indices
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 245
Joined: Sun Apr 25, 2010 10:51 pm
Contact:

Re: Investing in Goldman Sachs

Post by Indices »

If Goldman had similar control like Lehman, Bear Stearns and to a lesser extent JP Morgan, you can see how political control is no barrier to going under.
TripleB
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 882
Joined: Sun Mar 27, 2011 1:28 am
Contact:

Re: Investing in Goldman Sachs

Post by TripleB »

GS up about 25% in the last 3 weeks since I made this thread. Compared to about 10% of the SP500.
User avatar
AdamA
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 2336
Joined: Sun Jan 23, 2011 8:49 pm

Re: Investing in Goldman Sachs

Post by AdamA »

TripleB wrote: GS up about 25% in the last 3 weeks since I made this thread. Compared to about 10% of the SP500.
Are you going to sell your shares?
"All men's miseries derive from not being able to sit in a quiet room alone."

Pascal
User avatar
stone
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 2627
Joined: Wed Apr 20, 2011 7:43 am
Contact:

Re: Investing in Goldman Sachs

Post by stone »

Triple B, that's true but looking at a 12 month time frame, SP500 is up 10% and GS is down 25% isn't it. You bought the dip to perfection.
"Good judgment comes from experience. Experience comes from bad judgment." - Mulla Nasrudin
TripleB
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 882
Joined: Sun Mar 27, 2011 1:28 am
Contact:

Re: Investing in Goldman Sachs

Post by TripleB »

stone wrote: Triple B, that's true but looking at a 12 month time frame, SP500 is up 10% and GS is down 25% isn't it. You bought the dip to perfection.
Well that's the whole point of the VP, isn't it?

I also happened to call the bottom of the market within 100 points a couple years ago. I happened to get super lucky with that because it was pre-PP days, and I was 50% cash (well before the crash began) because I had a large expense, that I decided at the market bottom to move the cash into total stock market, and take out a loan for the purchase instead.

Yes, I am selling GS on Monday. I don't like to be greedy.
User avatar
stone
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 2627
Joined: Wed Apr 20, 2011 7:43 am
Contact:

Re: Investing in Goldman Sachs

Post by stone »

Congratulations  :)
"Good judgment comes from experience. Experience comes from bad judgment." - Mulla Nasrudin
User avatar
Jan Van
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 717
Joined: Thu Jun 17, 2010 5:42 am
Location: Charlotte, NC

Re: Investing in Goldman Sachs

Post by Jan Van »

TripleB wrote:Yes, I am selling GS on Monday. I don't like to be greedy.
In cases like this I think I'd prefer putting on a sell stop limit order with something like a 5% trailing stop. Why? Well, last year in August I bought just for fun and practice one call option AAPL when it dipped into the $240s. Then a week later, not wanting to be too greedy, I sold it for a quick $400 profit. I think I would have done a bit better letting it run and putting a trailing stop limit order under it...  ;D

Just an idea...
"Well, if you're gonna sin you might as well be original" -- Mike "The Cool-Person"
"Yeah, well, that’s just, like, your opinion, man" -- The Dude
User avatar
Storm
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 1652
Joined: Tue Aug 24, 2010 1:04 pm

Re: Investing in Goldman Sachs

Post by Storm »

jmourik wrote:
TripleB wrote:Yes, I am selling GS on Monday. I don't like to be greedy.
In cases like this I think I'd prefer putting on a sell stop limit order with something like a 5% trailing stop. Why? Well, last year in August I bought just for fun and practice one call option AAPL when it dipped into the $240s. Then a week later, not wanting to be too greedy, I sold it for a quick $400 profit. I think I would have done a bit better letting it run and putting a trailing stop limit order under it...  ;D

Just an idea...
Unfortunately, trailing stop limits don't always help you.  AAPL has had several 10-15% drops in the last year or so and you would have stopped out a long time ago.  I would recommend more of a 7-8% trailing limit, but the experienced traders seem to know algorithmically how to stop you out anyway... /sigh you can't win.
"I came here for financial advice, but I've ended up with a bunch of shave soaps and apparently am about to start eating sardines.  Not that I'm complaining, of course." -ZedThou
User avatar
AdamA
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 2336
Joined: Sun Jan 23, 2011 8:49 pm

Re: Investing in Goldman Sachs

Post by AdamA »

Adam1226 wrote:
TripleB wrote: GS up about 25% in the last 3 weeks since I made this thread. Compared to about 10% of the SP500.
Are you going to sell your shares?
Did you sell them?
"All men's miseries derive from not being able to sit in a quiet room alone."

Pascal
Post Reply