Gold not always good against inflation?

Discussion of the Gold portion of the Permanent Portfolio

Moderator: Global Moderator

Post Reply
goodasgold
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 387
Joined: Tue Jan 01, 2013 8:19 pm

Gold not always good against inflation?

Post by goodasgold »

It seems to me that gold serves as a good "crisis insurance." But while doing a search of Google, I came across an article on seekingalpha.com challenging the PP thesis that gold  is a reliable tool for countering inflation.


For details, see: http://seekingalpha.com/article/696911- ... hedge-ever

Comments would be appreciated.

Thank you,

Goodasgold
User avatar
Gosso
Executive Member
Executive Member
Posts: 1052
Joined: Fri Jan 06, 2012 8:22 am
Location: Canada

Re: Gold not always good against inflation?

Post by Gosso »

Hello goodasgold, and welcome to the forum!

Check out these two threads for answers to your question:

Is gold actually an inflation hedge?  Does it need to be?

Positive Real Interest Rates

Basically gold protects from "bad inflation".  Bad inflation occurs when the yield on short term treasuries is below inflation, ie negative real interest rates.  This means fiat money is behaving badly and therefore gold is attractive as an alternative store of wealth.  If we have positive real interest rates, then gold is less attractive and likely to fall or remain flat.
Post Reply