Search found 1019 matches

by frugal
Sat Jun 07, 2025 6:44 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: HB Permanent Portfolio: Now at 30/30/30/10 – What are the Risks? 🤔
Replies: 1
Views: 628

HB Permanent Portfolio: Now at 30/30/30/10 – What are the Risks? 🤔

Hey everyone, :) I've been a long-time advocate and holder of Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio (HB PP) for a while now. I've really appreciated its stability and "all-weather" diversification through various market conditions. ☔☀️🌬️❄️ Initially, I started with the classic 25% stocks, 25%...
by frugal
Sat May 31, 2025 1:29 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ⌛ Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? ⚡ Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?
Replies: 17
Views: 7267

Re: ⌛ Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? ⚡ Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?

Smith1776 wrote: Thu May 29, 2025 11:23 pm It's not too late to invest in Bitcoin.

It's too late to not invest in Bitcoin.
Please explain 🥸
by frugal
Thu May 29, 2025 4:56 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ⌛ Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? ⚡ Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?
Replies: 17
Views: 7267

Re: ⌛ Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? ⚡ Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?

• The total gold market cap is around $13 trillion.

• If Bitcoin captures just 10% of that market, that implies a BTC price of $600,000 to $1M.
by frugal
Wed May 28, 2025 6:10 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: ⌛ Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? ⚡ Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?
Replies: 17
Views: 7267

⌛ Too Late for Bitcoin? Or Just the Right Time? ⚡ Finally Taking the First Step into Bitcoin?

Dear PP fellows, 👋 After all these years… I never managed to invest in Bitcoin. Yes, I watched, I read, I hesitated… and then did nothing. Now I look back and honestly think: We probably should’ve allocated at least 5% of our portfolio. Just that. Not all-in, not speculative. Just a small, steady po...
by frugal
Tue May 27, 2025 7:39 am
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin giveaway! :)
Replies: 383
Views: 206737

Re: Bitcoin giveaway! :)

It seems likely that you forgot to write down one of the 12 words? Do you have an intuition as to what position the forgotten word was in? If you know that then brute forcing the seed phrase should be pretty easy. The BIP 39 dictionary has 2048 words. Hi 👋🏻 now like this: Imported Bitcoin addresses...
by frugal
Mon May 26, 2025 1:07 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Bitcoin giveaway! :)
Replies: 383
Views: 206737

Re: Bitcoin giveaway! :)

Hello everyone, 👋 I have an old paper wallet that I printed from a website a while ago. On the paper, there is a login link 🔗 and a mnemonic 📝. The problem is that the mnemonic only has 11 words, but I believe it should have 12. ❓ I used to log in to the wallet in the past and could see the balance ...
by frugal
Sat May 24, 2025 5:20 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 📊 Current Portfolio Allocation – Almost a Permanent Portfolio (EU-PP-HB ) 💼
Replies: 6
Views: 3401

📊 Current Portfolio Allocation – Almost a Permanent Portfolio (EU-PP-HB ) 💼

Hey everyone, Today my portfolio is roughly: • 🟡 30% Gold • 📈 30% Stocks • 💵 30% Bonds • 💰 10% Cash This is close to the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio strategy, though not exactly the same (and not strictly rebalanced either). 🤔 I’m thinking of adding new money, but I’m trying to avoid rebalancin...
by frugal
Sat May 17, 2025 2:34 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 86578

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

outside the US people are paying their plumber and barber in bitcoin? with what apps. Waiting for a dip in bitcoin but as 2020 demonstrated there might not be another dip. Printer turns right on I don’t see that … Binance had a card but it seems to finish Paying with cripto will be usual everyday?
by frugal
Fri May 16, 2025 4:55 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 💸 Is Rebalancing the Permanent Portfolio Costing You More Than You Think? 🤔
Replies: 11
Views: 2914

Re: 💸 Is Rebalancing the Permanent Portfolio Costing You More Than You Think? 🤔

PROBLEM >:(

🔁 Rebalancing is not a minor detail—it’s a fundamental component of the strategy.

???

:o
by frugal
Wed May 14, 2025 9:32 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 💸 Is Rebalancing the Permanent Portfolio Costing You More Than You Think? 🤔
Replies: 11
Views: 2914

Re: 💸 Is Rebalancing the Permanent Portfolio Costing You More Than You Think? 🤔

🔍 I’d really like to hear how others using the Permanent Portfolio are handling this. Do you adjust your rebalancing strategy to reduce the tax hit? 📬 Looking forward to hearing your thoughts. 1. Funds are in a Superannuation Account (Retirement Savings Plan) 2. Use a Vanguard Ready Made ETF (VDCO)...
by frugal
Wed May 14, 2025 4:17 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 💸 Is Rebalancing the Permanent Portfolio Costing You More Than You Think? 🤔
Replies: 11
Views: 2914

💸 Is Rebalancing the Permanent Portfolio Costing You More Than You Think? 🤔

👋 Hi everyone, hope you're doing well. I’ve been revisiting some aspects of my Permanent Portfolio (25% stocks, 25% long-term bonds, 25% gold, 25% cash), and there’s one issue I keep coming back to — one that I think is seriously underestimated: the tax impact of rebalancing 🔄💰. Rebalancing keeps ev...
by frugal
Mon May 12, 2025 5:36 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Marc De Messel Portfolio
Replies: 27
Views: 32671

Re: Marc De Messel Portfolio

Ahahah Why it was so difficult to have like 5% of capital in bitcoin? Why we are so afraid? 😳 PP followers may be averse to risk … ? Risk averse, for sure, frugal. I don’t want to be boring, but think of it this way: Pascal’s Wager, if I have it right, is the premise that you should believe in God ...
by frugal
Sat May 10, 2025 9:20 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯
Replies: 12
Views: 3532

Re: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯

OCHOTONA Hi! Invesco's Swiss Franc ETF + iGOV iShares International sovereign bond ETF = both for 25% cash portion of PP? Or it is a second PP outside US-HB-PP? 8) ??? One consideration is that the IGOV has a duration of 7-8 years, similar to IEF. Some people implement a US Permanent Portfolio of 2...
by frugal
Fri May 09, 2025 6:54 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯
Replies: 12
Views: 3532

Re: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯

OCHOTONA

Hi!

Invesco's Swiss Franc ETF
+
iGOV iShares International sovereign bond ETF

= both for 25% cash portion of PP?

Or it is a second PP outside US-HB-PP?

8) ???
by frugal
Thu May 08, 2025 12:57 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯
Replies: 12
Views: 3532

Re: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯

Hi 👋🏻

An US citizen should have 20-30% in directly euros 💶?

And an EU citizen should have 20-30% in US Dollars 💵 ?

Or the 25% gold on PP should be enough to protect us from currencies collapses ?


Regards
by frugal
Wed May 07, 2025 5:51 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯
Replies: 12
Views: 3532

Re: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯

:o

Problem is:

Gold is only 25%

:-\

Shouldn’t be enough to offset losses …

Waiting your comments I remain.


Regards
by frugal
Wed May 07, 2025 5:47 am
Forum: Other Discussions
Topic: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?
Replies: 114
Views: 86578

Re: Bitcoin Costs More than Gold?

As a perhaps-humorous note, perhaps giving some insight into me: I currently live in Bitcoin City, El Salvador. And I still have the essentially same view of Bitcoin as I did when participating in this thread. Though I do wish I had bought a whole bunch back then! :D Hi 👋🏻 Can you explain your thou...
by frugal
Tue May 06, 2025 6:05 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯
Replies: 12
Views: 3532

If the EURO 💶 collapses 🤯

Hello 👋🏻 if I finally decided to create a Permanent Portfolio for the United States 🇺🇸, my reasoning is that, if the euro collapses 📉, having a significant portion of my assets in dollars 💵 would offer me more complete protection against the depreciation of the European currency 🇪🇺. In this scenario...
by frugal
Wed Apr 30, 2025 9:40 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 🌍 Exploring USD-Based Diversification: Golden Butterfly 🦋 or Second Permanent Portfolio 📊?
Replies: 10
Views: 2646

Re: 🌍 Exploring USD-Based Diversification: Golden Butterfly 🦋 or Second Permanent Portfolio 📊?

Hi WhiteElephant,

So, in that case, does it make sense to hold gold in EUR, cash in EUR, and then allocate stocks and bonds in USD? 📉📈

Curious to hear your thoughts!

Cheers,
Frugal 😎
by frugal
Wed Apr 30, 2025 3:26 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 🌍 Exploring USD-Based Diversification: Golden Butterfly 🦋 or Second Permanent Portfolio 📊?
Replies: 10
Views: 2646

Re: 🌍 Exploring USD-Based Diversification: Golden Butterfly 🦋 or Second Permanent Portfolio 📊?

Hi 👋, My main question remains: is it worth having 20–40% direct exposure to USD 💵, through US-domiciled ETFs traded in dollars? At one point, I seriously considered building a US-style Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio (HB-PP-USA) using US-domiciled assets. After all, that’s where the strategy origi...
by frugal
Tue Apr 29, 2025 12:20 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 🌍 Exploring USD-Based Diversification: Golden Butterfly 🦋 or Second Permanent Portfolio 📊?
Replies: 10
Views: 2646

Re: 🌍 Exploring USD-Based Diversification: Golden Butterfly 🦋 or Second Permanent Portfolio 📊?

>:D

Regarding US-HB-PP with european ETFs in euros, what do you think?

Is the risk covered and hedged or they are the same as USD ETFs ?

???
by frugal
Tue Apr 29, 2025 3:25 am
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: 🌍 Exploring USD-Based Diversification: Golden Butterfly 🦋 or Second Permanent Portfolio 📊?
Replies: 10
Views: 2646

🌍 Exploring USD-Based Diversification: Golden Butterfly 🦋 or Second Permanent Portfolio 📊?

Dear PPeers, I have recently completed the construction of a Permanent Portfolio based in Europe 🇪🇺, fully denominated in euros. This allocation suits my objectives of long-term capital preservation, low volatility, and resilience across economic cycles. At this stage, I am considering further diver...