Search found 155 matches

by Kevin K.
Mon May 25, 2020 3:15 pm
Forum: Stocks
Topic: Golden Technology Portfolio
Replies: 14
Views: 317

Re: Golden Technology Portfolio

Good thread on VUG vs VTI on Reddit. The first response with the link to a backtest on Portfolio Visualizer is especially interesting to me: https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/emlzq3/vug_vs_vti_what_are_your_longterm_bets_on/ I could see replacing some or all of the SCV in the regular Golde...
by Kevin K.
Sat May 23, 2020 4:27 pm
Forum: Permanent Portfolio Discussion
Topic: Worthwhile interview with Mohamed El-Erian
Replies: 0
Views: 100

Worthwhile interview with Mohamed El-Erian

Thought this was 15 minutes well-spent. Recorded April 30th but quite up-to-date in its market analysis. El-Erian strikes me as being properly concerned by the Fed's ongoing buying of risky bonds and fully aware of what the effects of money printing. His closing comments about stocks underline the v...
by Kevin K.
Sat May 16, 2020 11:56 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Best LTT fund or ETF
Replies: 8
Views: 586

Re: Best LTT fund or ETF

Schwab just introduced a LTT ETF. SCHQ. I think its the lowest expense ratio LTT ETF available. A bit shorter duration that TLT. That might offset the expense ratio I guess. Thanks for the head's-up. I see the fund just opened 10/19. Duration is good, expense ratio at .05 same as Vanguard's VGLT. F...
by Kevin K.
Thu May 14, 2020 5:21 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Best LTT fund or ETF
Replies: 8
Views: 586

Re: Best LTT fund or ETF

Thanks very much Tyler!
by Kevin K.
Thu May 14, 2020 4:26 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Best LTT fund or ETF
Replies: 8
Views: 586

Best LTT fund or ETF

From what I can tell TLT still seems to be the only fund or ETF that consistently keeps the maturities to 20+ years and doesn’t allow up to 20% of assets to be invested in swaps, cash, etc.

VGLT appeals with its much cheaper (.05 vs. .15) ER. Any other good options?
by Kevin K.
Wed May 13, 2020 1:39 pm
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Treasurey to sell $3 Trillion in Bonds by July
Replies: 17
Views: 631

Re: Treasurey to sell $3 Trillion in Bonds by July

Thanks pmward! I needed to hear that.

I need to spend much less time over on the Bogleheads forum. ;)
by Kevin K.
Wed May 13, 2020 11:46 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: Treasurey to sell $3 Trillion in Bonds by July
Replies: 17
Views: 631

Re: Treasurey to sell $3 Trillion in Bonds by July

Jonathan Clements certainly agrees with you: https://humbledollar.com/2020/05/no-alternative/ But maybe you can shed more light on this from a PP perspective. Per Tyler's comments on the real function of the various assets, stocks and cash do well in times of inflation, gold is a wild card asset tha...
by Kevin K.
Fri May 08, 2020 5:22 pm
Forum: Cash
Topic: New Ray Dalio piece
Replies: 12
Views: 679

Re: New Ray Dalio piece

Thanks for the wise perspective pmward and Ad Orientem!

I hope the U.S. will stop making it so easy for China to increase its influence and that the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency will persist for a good long while. And yeah - it's a good time to own some gold.
by Kevin K.
Fri May 08, 2020 10:16 am
Forum: Bonds
Topic: The Bond Dream Room
Replies: 576
Views: 186675

Re: The Bond Dream Room

So given all of these well-made points (and on the heels of the Dalio article I posted which goes into granular detail about money printing and fiat currencies in general) might a prudent "tweak" for these times be to maintain the PP bond barbell but with 15-20% in LTT's? At ~1.6% there's still a ch...
by Kevin K.
Fri May 08, 2020 9:53 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: New Ray Dalio piece
Replies: 12
Views: 679

Re: New Ray Dalio piece

Yeah I noticed that too and thought about posting the Dalio piece there but all it'd do is cause a few posts trashing some of Dalio's past predictions before the thread got locked. Taylor Larimore did start a thread about which ETF's performed best during the March market meltdown and I couldn't res...
by Kevin K.
Thu May 07, 2020 7:01 pm
Forum: Variable Portfolio Discussion
Topic: "Impermanent" PP for the skilled number-crunchers
Replies: 12
Views: 429

"Impermanent" PP for the skilled number-crunchers

Thought I'd share this link to a. blog which has elicited a long thread on Bogleheads. The guy uses the PP assets only but rebalances them frequently according to formulas which are mostly beyond my pay grade. He posts performance on a weekly (or even more often) basis. https://breakingthemarket.com...
by Kevin K.
Thu May 07, 2020 11:30 am
Forum: Cash
Topic: New Ray Dalio piece
Replies: 12
Views: 679

New Ray Dalio piece

Not sure whether to put this under the Cash or Gold forum headings but as always with Ray Dalio it's at least worth a skim. Long on history and analysis with a dearth of immediately actionable advice but it sure makes a compelling argument for us being very late in the phase of the U.S. dollar being...